Monday 24 February 2014

Zinc: Bullish fundamentals to start impacting markets in 2014

The other part to the supply picture is China, where growth is slowing sharply. After years of double-digit percentage growth, mine production grew only 4% in 2013. That’s even slower than the official data sugg..

LONDON (Commodity Online): 

The long anticpated supply tightening in zinc is emerging as recent zinc mine corporate data suggests, according to Barclays Plc.

Barclays which tracks close to 20% of global supplies reported that major zinc producers have reported 4% lower production on a year on year basis with ouput contracting at half the mines.

"During 2013, zinc performed fairly better than its peers from the base metals complex, fetching a marginal negative return of 0.57%. In the year 2011, zinc prices plummeted by 24%, the most among other base metals on the back of supply surplus and high legacy inventory," according to Nirmal Bang Commodity Year Book 2014.

At India's Multi Commodity Exchange, Zinc for February delivery has fallen from a high of Rs 130.35 last week to Rs 126.40 on Monday trading.

Mine supply data

-GlencoreXstrata's Q4 13 results show production dropped 9% y-o-y t due to shuttering of two big mins Perseverance and Brunswick.
-Blackthorn Resources has suspended open pit opertions because of weak metal prices and unaccpetable financial results.
-Data from the International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZG) this week further illustrated the softer ex-China production performance: ex-China mine production did not grow at all in 2013.

The other part to the supply picture is China, where growth is slowing sharply. After years of double-digit percentage growth, mine production grew only 4% in 2013. That’s even slower than the official data suggest; NBS data show Chinese production up 9% y/y. In the past, Chinese production tended to surprise to the upside, and that certainly remains a risk
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