COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 03 NOVEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:

Nickel fell for the first time in five days after data showed continued manufacturing weakness in China, damping the outlook for demand in the world’s largest metals consumer.

ENERGY WRAP:

West Texas Intermediate fell for a third day, the longest losing streak in more than two weeks, as an official gauge from China showed factory output slowed in the world’s second-largest oil consumer. Brent slid in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:

Gold traded within 40 cents of a four-year low after the Bank of Japan boosted stimulus and the Federal Reserve ended asset purchases, highlighting divergent central-bank policies and hurting bullion demand as the dollar climbed. Silver retreated to the lowest level since 2010.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:

Building Approvals m/m, Non-Manufacturing PMI, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, Manufacturing PMI, Final Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Total Vehicle Sales, BOC Gov Poloz Speaks.

BULLIONS COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 17TH OCTOBER 2014

CS COPPER (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:405
SUP2:402 
RESIST1:412
RESIST2:417
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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CS CRUDE (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND BEARISH
SUP1:5010
SUP2:4945
RESIST1:5240
RESIST2:5300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS GOLD (DECEMBER) OVERVIEW: 
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:27150
SUP2:26840
RESIST1:27620
RESIST2:27810
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SILVER (DECEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:38580
SUP2:38050 
RESIST1:39200
RESIST2:39630 
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 15 SEPT. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:

Copper lead most industrial metals lower after factory and retail-sales data signalled further slowing in China, the world’s biggest user.

ENERGY WRAP:

West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude declined for a second day as China’s industrial output expanded at the weakest pace since the global financial crisis.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:

Gold rallied from an eight-month low, snapping three days of losses, on speculation that reduced prices may spur purchases before the Federal Reserve begins a two-day policy meeting.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:

Empire State Manufacturing Index, Capacity Utilization Rate, Capacity Utilization Rate.

Commodity Market Levels
Bullion- Market :-	Agri – Market ;-
CS CHANA (SEPTEMBER)) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2780                                                          SUP2:2740                     RESIST1:2830 RESIST2:2870 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS COPPER (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:417 SUP2:412                    RESIST1:426 RESIST2:428 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS JEERA (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:10675 SUP2:10530 RESIST1:10940 RESIST2:11100 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CRUDE (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5550 SUP2:5500 RESIST1:5710 RESIST2:5780 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS TURMERIC (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5980 SUP2:5850 RESIST1:6200 RESIST2:6370 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS GOLD (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:                              TREND BEARISH SUP1:26700 SUP2:26500 RESIST1:27430 RESIST2:27480 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:3080 SUP2:2950 RESIST1:3240 RESIST2:3280 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SILVER (DECEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:40950 SUP2:40500                      RESIST1:41800 RESIST2:42280                                                         TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 03 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced in London as U.S. manufacturing expanded at the quickest clip in three years and construction spending rebounded, signaling increased demand.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas prices dropped on Tuesday after weather forecasting models called for falling temperatures across the U.S., which should cut into the need for air conditioning and thus reduce demand for the commodity at the nation's thermal power plants. Oil prices dropped on Tuesday due to mounting concerns that global supply is far outreaching demand, while a stronger U.S. dollar also bruised the commodity.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold futures extended losses on Tuesday, slumping to more than two month lows as the broadly stronger dollar dampened investor demand for the precious metal.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Non-Manufacturing PMI(CNY), GDP q/q(AUD), HSBC Services PMI(CNY), RBA Gov Stevens Speaks(AUD), Services PMI(GBP), BOC Rate Statement(CAD), Overnight Rate(CAD), Factory Orders m/m(USD), Total Vehicle Sales(USD), Beige Book(USD).

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 02 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium led most industrial metals higher as worse-than-expected manufacturing data in China and the euro area increased speculation of more economic stimulus. Copper fell in London on signs that factory demand will slow in China, the world’s largest consumer of the industrial metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell amid speculation that weakening manufacturing from Germany to China will cap demand for oil. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold extended a declined from a one-week high, retreating for a third day, as investors weighed the health of the global economy against tension between Ukraine and Russia.

           

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m(AUD), Cash Rate(AUD), RBA Rate Statement(AUD), Construction PMI(GBP), Final Manufacturing PMI(USD), ISM Manufacturing PMI(USD), Construction Spending m/m(USD), IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism(USD), ISM Manufacturing Prices(USD).

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains. Auto stocks will be in focus on the back of robust August sales. Further, metal and power stocks could extend gains after the Centre requested the apex court not to cancel permits for 46 blocks.

FURTHER, Cipla Ltd has launched an anti-asthma inhaler in Germany and Sweden that is a generic version of GlaxoSmithKline Plc's Advair, a move that will further dent sales of the British firm's top-selling product. Tata Motors reported 17.59% decline in total sales at 40,883 units in August, 2014 as against 49,611 units in the same month last year.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 561cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher with the Nifty rising above 7900

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher with the Nifty rising above 7900 level supported by positive global cues, and capital goods, oil & gas, banks and metals stocks.

FURTHER, Aurobindo Pharma will be expanding the capacity of its active pharmaceutical ingredients ( APIs) unit (unit-11) in Vizag this fiscal. Indian Oil Corp is reportedly planning to raise processing of cheaper crude oil varieties to 30% by 2017-18.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 490cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

                                                                                                                                                                       

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Top Corporate News 18 August 2014

• Jubilant FoodWorks surges as Bofa start with Buy rating

Jubilant Food Works rose nearly 6%, after Bank of America Merrill Lynch starts coverage with a Buy rating and a target of Rs1,375. The company in a sweet spot in the large and high-growth quick service restaurants market.

• ITC slips on buzz of anti-tobacco laws

ITC fell nearly 3% on reports the Centre is planning to introduce tougher provisions under law to curb tobacco consumption in the country.

• Tata Motors jumps 3% on JLR July sales

Shares of Tata Motors jumped 3 percent, riding on its Jaguar Land Rover July sales number. The luxury car business sold 39467 units (up 12.2 percent) as compared to 35162 units in the same period last fiscal.

• Tata Power jumps 4%, MERC grants 25-yr distribution licence

Shares of Tata Power jumped over 4 percent as state electricity regulator Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission (MERC) has granted 25 years distribution licence to Tata Power for supplying power in city and suburban areas.

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Indian Benchmarks Mark Nearly 2-1/2 Week Closing High Ahead Of Modi's Independence Day Speech

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS rose for a fourth consecutive session to its highest close in nearly two-and-a-half weeks.

• Further, India’s wholesale price (WPI) inflation eased to a five-month low in July, helped by a moderation in fuel costs. The WPI rose 5.19% year-on-year last month, its slowest pace since February. In June, prices rose 5.43% from a year earlier.

• Financial Technologies has announced the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit of the company rose by 57.92% to Rs128.25 crore Vs Rs81.21 crore YoY.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7800 and above this 7840. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7740 and next support will be 7695.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat ,late recovery.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS end flat amid choppy trading session as investors turned cautious on lower industrial growth and rising CPI in July. Heavy selling led the Indian stock markets to slip in to the negative territory during the day.

·         Further, Jaiprakash Associates fell 9.16%, after the company posted a net loss of Rs80.61 crore in Q1 June 2014 compared with net profit Rs334.51 crore in Q1 June 2013.

·         Bank of Baroda fell 3.73%, after the central bank restricted foreign institutional investors from buying additional shares in the bank as their shareholding has reached the limit.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7760 and above this 7790. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7695 and next support will be 7655.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 08 August 2014

·        SBI surprises street, Q1 profit rises 3% to Rs 3349 cr

State Bank of India surprised street with the first quarter (April-June) net profit rising 3.3 percent year-on-year to Rs 3,349 crore on higher net interest income though it was impacted by higher provisions, tax cost and lower other income. Net profit in the year-ago period was Rs 3,241.08 crore. The growth in profitability was for the first time in last six quarters.

·        M&M Q1 standalone profit beats estimate

Mahindra and Mahindra has reported a 4.3 percent growth in first quarter (April-June) profit at Rs 896.4 crore compared to Rs 859.8 crore in same quarter last year driven by operational performance.

·        Siemens bags orders from Reliance Industries for supply of steam turbines

Siemens announced that it has received orders for approximately Rs 228 crores from Reliance Industries Ltd for supply of four 600 Steam Turbogenerator units for its Jamnagar Refinery.

·        Chambal Fertilisers Q1 PAT declines 28% to Rs 80.8 cr

Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Q1FY15 (April-June) net profit declined 28.5 percent to Rs 80.8 crore from Rs 113 crore in a year ago period. Net sales of the company were up 18 percent at Rs 1,994 crore versus Rs 1,687 crore, Y-o-Y.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 08 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper headed for a second weekly decline after imports by China, the biggest user of the metal, fell to the lowest since April 2013.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude climbed for a second day after U.S. President Barack Obama authorized air strikes in Iraq, the second-biggest oil producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold advanced to the highest level in three weeks, poised to snap the longest run of weekly losses since September, as haven demand increased on unrest in the Middle East and tension over Ukraine.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Consumer Credit m/m, RBA Monetary Policy Statement, Trade Balance, Monetary Policy Statement, BOJ Press Conference, Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q, Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q, Wholesale Inventories m/m.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY- 08 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open in the negative territory tracking weakness in the global markets. Results will remain in focus, especially of SBI.

FURTHER, Apollo Tyres plans to raise about Rs 1,725 crore through issue of securities was today approved by the shareholders of the company. Reliance Communication has received Rs. 650 crore from Telecom Infrastructure Finance Private Limited equivalent to 50% of the issue price of the Equity.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 228cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS

·        Jubilant Food Q1 net down 19%, same store sales contracts

Jubilant Foodworks has first quarter (April-June) net profit falling 18.5 percent to Rs 27.7 crore compared to Rs 34 crore in the year-ago period, impacted by weak operational performance.

·        India Cements Q1 cuts loss to Rs 3 cr

India Cements has posted a net loss of Rs 2.96 crore in the quarter ended June 2014 as against profit of Rs 16.8 crore in the year-ago period but the loss was reduced compared to loss of 30.56 crore in January-March quarter.

·        Jubilant Industries drops on poor Q1 nos

Jubilant Industries slipped nearly 17% after reporting a consolidated net loss of Rs18.90 crore for the first quarter ended June 30, 2014 (Q1), due to lower operational income and higher interest cost. The agrochemicals company had loss of Rs16.96 crore in the same quarter last fiscal.

·        Rail stocks suge after Cabinet clears 100% FDI in railways

Shares of railways have rallied after the Union Cabinet cleared the proposal to allow 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) in railway infrastructure.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 07 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper prices fell to their lowest level in more than five weeks Wednesday, pressured by a stronger dollar and concerns about growth in China, the world's largest consumer of the metal.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses near a six-month low before trade data that will signal the strength of the economy in China, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold held gains after the biggest advance in three weeks as tensions flared over Ukraine, increasing demand for a haven. Palladium climbed.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Employment Change q/q, Unemployment Rate, Asset Purchase Facility, Official Bank Rate, MPC Rate Statement, Minimum Bid Rate, Building Permits m/m, ECB Press Conference, Unemployment Claims, Ivey PMI, Natural Gas Storage.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY- 07 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat, following the cabinet plan to raise the amount of FDI in defence and railways industries. IT stocks could seem dip in sentiment after Cognizant lowered its revenue growth expectations for the full year to 14% from 16.5%.

FURTHER, Piramal Enterprises Ltd has posted a net profit of Rs. 28963.20 mn for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 as compared to Net Loss of Rs. (1466.60) mn for the quarter ended June 30, 2013. IDBI bank has posted a net profit of Rs. 1048.10 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 as compared to Rs. 3069.50 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2013.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 32cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS fell on weak global cues.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS fell over 1%, snapping two days of gains, as lenders slumped on worries that a sell-off in government bonds would hit the value of their debt holdings.

• Further, Infosys rose 2.01% on reports that three former executives have asked the company to buyback shares worth Rs11200 crore.

• Jindal Steel & Power Ltd has announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014.Net profit at Rs 306.27 crore vs Rs238.86 crore YoY. Total Income at Rs3605.78 crore vs Rs3431.45 crore YoY.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7750 and above this 7840. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7640 and next support will be 7595. 

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 06 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper fell to its lowest level in two weeks and Shanghai prices slid nearly 1 percent, reflecting investor caution as weakness in China's services sector cast doubts on its economic recovery momentum.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for a second time in three days after an industry report showed crude stockpiles declined in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent climbed in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Silver futures fell to a six-week low as the dollar’s advance reduced the appeal of commodities as alternative investments. Gold, platinum and palladium dropped.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Employment Change q/q, Unemployment Rate, Manufacturing Production m/m, Trade Balance, Trade Balance, Crude Oil Inventories.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open lower, following losses in global stocks.

 

The government is planning to sell 5% stake in SAIL and 10% each in RINL and HAL in the present fiscal.   FURTHER, Bata India declined 1.99% after net profit fell 4.1% to Rs 59.39 crore on 8.6% rise in net sales to Rs 621.58 crore in Q2 June 2014 over Q2 June 2013. 

Hero MotoCorp lost 1.88% after net profit rose 2.58% to Rs 562.76 crore on 14% increase in total income to Rs 7,149.59 crore in Q1 June 2014 over Q1 June 2013.   

Trend in FII flows: 

The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 62cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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