AGRI COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 17TH OCTOBER 2014

CS CHANA (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2870 
SUP2:2840 
RESIST1:2950
RESIST2:2970
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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CS JEERA (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:10590
SUP2:10520
RESIST1:11110
RESIST2:11150
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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CS TURMERIC (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6100
SUP2:6040
RESIST1:6320
RESIST2:6500
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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CS SOYABEAN (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2925
SUP2:2900
RESIST1:3115
RESIST2:3172
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end at Record High… Nifty closes above 8100

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS record high as software exporters such as Infosys rallied after strong US manufacturing and construction data, while continued foreign buying and falling oil prices also helped.

·         Bharti Airtel was up 3% after the company said its arm signed an agreement to acquire over 2.7 million subscribers of yuMobile.

·         Further, Shares of Tata Motors gained nearly 3%, after a slew of rating upgrades. Morgan Stanley upgrades the stock to Overweight from Equal-weight.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 8140 and above this 8165. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 8090 and next support will be 8040.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 03 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced in London as U.S. manufacturing expanded at the quickest clip in three years and construction spending rebounded, signaling increased demand.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas prices dropped on Tuesday after weather forecasting models called for falling temperatures across the U.S., which should cut into the need for air conditioning and thus reduce demand for the commodity at the nation's thermal power plants. Oil prices dropped on Tuesday due to mounting concerns that global supply is far outreaching demand, while a stronger U.S. dollar also bruised the commodity.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold futures extended losses on Tuesday, slumping to more than two month lows as the broadly stronger dollar dampened investor demand for the precious metal.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Non-Manufacturing PMI(CNY), GDP q/q(AUD), HSBC Services PMI(CNY), RBA Gov Stevens Speaks(AUD), Services PMI(GBP), BOC Rate Statement(CAD), Overnight Rate(CAD), Factory Orders m/m(USD), Total Vehicle Sales(USD), Beige Book(USD).

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 02 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium led most industrial metals higher as worse-than-expected manufacturing data in China and the euro area increased speculation of more economic stimulus. Copper fell in London on signs that factory demand will slow in China, the world’s largest consumer of the industrial metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell amid speculation that weakening manufacturing from Germany to China will cap demand for oil. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold extended a declined from a one-week high, retreating for a third day, as investors weighed the health of the global economy against tension between Ukraine and Russia.

           

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m(AUD), Cash Rate(AUD), RBA Rate Statement(AUD), Construction PMI(GBP), Final Manufacturing PMI(USD), ISM Manufacturing PMI(USD), Construction Spending m/m(USD), IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism(USD), ISM Manufacturing Prices(USD).

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains. Auto stocks will be in focus on the back of robust August sales. Further, metal and power stocks could extend gains after the Centre requested the apex court not to cancel permits for 46 blocks.

FURTHER, Cipla Ltd has launched an anti-asthma inhaler in Germany and Sweden that is a generic version of GlaxoSmithKline Plc's Advair, a move that will further dent sales of the British firm's top-selling product. Tata Motors reported 17.59% decline in total sales at 40,883 units in August, 2014 as against 49,611 units in the same month last year.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 561cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK opened on a flat note after two-day strong rally.

INDIAN BENCHMARK opened on a flat note after two-day strong rally. The data coming in as of yesterday is not really encouraging. Consumer inflation in July rose to a two-month high. July CPI inflation has increased to 7.96% as compared to 7.46% mom. IIP for June came in at a lower-than-expected 3.7% as against the revised May 2014 level of 5%.

FURTHER, BHEL has slipped 5.4% after a sharp 58% year-on-year drop in its net profit at Rs 194 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 (Q1), mainly due to decline in sales from power and industry segments. Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd reported net sales / Income from operations at Rs. 3,927 crores, a growth of 13% over same quarter last year.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 39cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 08 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper headed for a second weekly decline after imports by China, the biggest user of the metal, fell to the lowest since April 2013.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude climbed for a second day after U.S. President Barack Obama authorized air strikes in Iraq, the second-biggest oil producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold advanced to the highest level in three weeks, poised to snap the longest run of weekly losses since September, as haven demand increased on unrest in the Middle East and tension over Ukraine.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Consumer Credit m/m, RBA Monetary Policy Statement, Trade Balance, Monetary Policy Statement, BOJ Press Conference, Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q, Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q, Wholesale Inventories m/m.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS

·        Jubilant Food Q1 net down 19%, same store sales contracts

Jubilant Foodworks has first quarter (April-June) net profit falling 18.5 percent to Rs 27.7 crore compared to Rs 34 crore in the year-ago period, impacted by weak operational performance.

·        India Cements Q1 cuts loss to Rs 3 cr

India Cements has posted a net loss of Rs 2.96 crore in the quarter ended June 2014 as against profit of Rs 16.8 crore in the year-ago period but the loss was reduced compared to loss of 30.56 crore in January-March quarter.

·        Jubilant Industries drops on poor Q1 nos

Jubilant Industries slipped nearly 17% after reporting a consolidated net loss of Rs18.90 crore for the first quarter ended June 30, 2014 (Q1), due to lower operational income and higher interest cost. The agrochemicals company had loss of Rs16.96 crore in the same quarter last fiscal.

·        Rail stocks suge after Cabinet clears 100% FDI in railways

Shares of railways have rallied after the Union Cabinet cleared the proposal to allow 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) in railway infrastructure.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 07 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper prices fell to their lowest level in more than five weeks Wednesday, pressured by a stronger dollar and concerns about growth in China, the world's largest consumer of the metal.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses near a six-month low before trade data that will signal the strength of the economy in China, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold held gains after the biggest advance in three weeks as tensions flared over Ukraine, increasing demand for a haven. Palladium climbed.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Employment Change q/q, Unemployment Rate, Asset Purchase Facility, Official Bank Rate, MPC Rate Statement, Minimum Bid Rate, Building Permits m/m, ECB Press Conference, Unemployment Claims, Ivey PMI, Natural Gas Storage.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 06 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper fell to its lowest level in two weeks and Shanghai prices slid nearly 1 percent, reflecting investor caution as weakness in China's services sector cast doubts on its economic recovery momentum.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for a second time in three days after an industry report showed crude stockpiles declined in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent climbed in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Silver futures fell to a six-week low as the dollar’s advance reduced the appeal of commodities as alternative investments. Gold, platinum and palladium dropped.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Employment Change q/q, Unemployment Rate, Manufacturing Production m/m, Trade Balance, Trade Balance, Crude Oil Inventories.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 25 July 2014

• PNB Q1 profit beats forecast, up 10% but asset quality weak

Punjab National Bank net profit jumped 10.2 percent on yearly basis to Rs 1,405 crore on account of fall in provisions but decline in other income limited the profitability .The asset quality worsened during April-June quarter of current financial year 2014-15. The bank reported growth in profit for the first time in last four quarters.

• Shriram Transport Finance Q1 PAT drops 10% to Rs 306 cr

Shriram Transport Finance Corporation April-June quarter (Q1FY15) net profit declined by 10 percent to Rs 306 crore from Rs 341 crore in corresponding quarter of last fiscal. However, total income was up by 6 percent to Rs 2,015.8 crore from Rs 1,891.3 crore, Y-o-Y.

• UCO Bank Q1 profit up 2%, other income falls significantly

UCO Bank has reported a net profit of Rs 520 crore in the first quarter (April-June) of current financial year, increased marginally (1.7 percent) compared to Rs 511 crore in same quarter last year on account of significant fall in other income that was the reason behind fall in share price.

• Allahabad Bank Q1 net profit tanks 73% but NII rises 23%

Allahabad Bank reported a 72.7 percent decline in net profit at Rs 112.7 crore in April-June quarter (Q1FY15) compared to Rs 413 crore in same quarter last year on account of higher provisions, tax cost and fall in other income but net interest income growth was very strong.

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COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE 02 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper prices climbed to a 16-week high in London as manufacturing expanded at the fastest pace this year in China, the world’s largest user of the metal used in pipes and wires.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in almost three weeks before stockpile data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a three-month high on signs that the rally damped physical demand and as investors assessed the outlook for U.S. borrowing costs before Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks today. Platinum fell from the highest since September and palladium snapped a seven-day rally.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, Construction PMI, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Factory Orders m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks.

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