COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 03 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced in London as U.S. manufacturing expanded at the quickest clip in three years and construction spending rebounded, signaling increased demand.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas prices dropped on Tuesday after weather forecasting models called for falling temperatures across the U.S., which should cut into the need for air conditioning and thus reduce demand for the commodity at the nation's thermal power plants. Oil prices dropped on Tuesday due to mounting concerns that global supply is far outreaching demand, while a stronger U.S. dollar also bruised the commodity.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold futures extended losses on Tuesday, slumping to more than two month lows as the broadly stronger dollar dampened investor demand for the precious metal.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Non-Manufacturing PMI(CNY), GDP q/q(AUD), HSBC Services PMI(CNY), RBA Gov Stevens Speaks(AUD), Services PMI(GBP), BOC Rate Statement(CAD), Overnight Rate(CAD), Factory Orders m/m(USD), Total Vehicle Sales(USD), Beige Book(USD).

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 02 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium led most industrial metals higher as worse-than-expected manufacturing data in China and the euro area increased speculation of more economic stimulus. Copper fell in London on signs that factory demand will slow in China, the world’s largest consumer of the industrial metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell amid speculation that weakening manufacturing from Germany to China will cap demand for oil. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold extended a declined from a one-week high, retreating for a third day, as investors weighed the health of the global economy against tension between Ukraine and Russia.

           

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m(AUD), Cash Rate(AUD), RBA Rate Statement(AUD), Construction PMI(GBP), Final Manufacturing PMI(USD), ISM Manufacturing PMI(USD), Construction Spending m/m(USD), IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism(USD), ISM Manufacturing Prices(USD).

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains. Auto stocks will be in focus on the back of robust August sales. Further, metal and power stocks could extend gains after the Centre requested the apex court not to cancel permits for 46 blocks.

FURTHER, Cipla Ltd has launched an anti-asthma inhaler in Germany and Sweden that is a generic version of GlaxoSmithKline Plc's Advair, a move that will further dent sales of the British firm's top-selling product. Tata Motors reported 17.59% decline in total sales at 40,883 units in August, 2014 as against 49,611 units in the same month last year.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 561cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat ,late recovery.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS end flat amid choppy trading session as investors turned cautious on lower industrial growth and rising CPI in July. Heavy selling led the Indian stock markets to slip in to the negative territory during the day.

·         Further, Jaiprakash Associates fell 9.16%, after the company posted a net loss of Rs80.61 crore in Q1 June 2014 compared with net profit Rs334.51 crore in Q1 June 2013.

·         Bank of Baroda fell 3.73%, after the central bank restricted foreign institutional investors from buying additional shares in the bank as their shareholding has reached the limit.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7760 and above this 7790. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7695 and next support will be 7655.

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Weak global cues drag Sensex lower by 150 pts

Markets started the August series on a negative note with the Sensex down over 150 points owing to weak global cues. Selling pressure was visible across the sectors.

At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was down 159 points at 25,736 and the Nifty was down 55 points at 7,666.

The broader markets were no exception to the trend. The mid and smallcap indices dropped 0.7% in opening trades.

Sectors & Stocks

Power, Realty and capital Goods indices down 1% each were the major sectoral losers.

IT, Auto, Consumer Durables, Oil & Gas and Bankex indices slipped a little over 0.5% each.

Only six of the 30 stocks were in green on the Sensex.

Bharti Airtel up 2.5% continued its uptrend on reports that the company will sell more infrastructure in Africa. This is to reduce debt and cut capital expenditure on passive infrastructure.

Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki, Cipla, Coal India and Hero MotoCorp up 0.2-0.7% rounded off the gainers list.

The market breadth was weak on the BSE. 906 stocks declined while 483 stocks advanced.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 31 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper was underpinned on Thursday by indications that the U.S. Federal Reserve is not hurrying to raise interest rates, even as the world's top economy logged robust second quarter growth that brightened the outlook for demand.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude dropped to a two-week low after a government report showed that U.S. gasoline supplies gained as demand slipped.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated for a fourth day to head for a monthly decline as further signs that the U.S. recovery is gaining momentum strengthened the case for higher borrowing costs in the world’s largest economy.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, GDP m/m, Unemployment Claims, Employment Cost Index q/q, Chicago PMI, Natural Gas Storage.

Post by Palak Mishara.

CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

ARVIND LTD FUTURE BUY CALL 3TGT

UPL LTD FUTURE BUY CALL 3TGT

BHARTI AIRTEL FUTURE BUY CALL 2TGT

HUL FUTURE BUY CALL 1TGT

HAVELLS INDIA FUTURES SELL CALL BOOKED AT 1165

BHARAT FORGE FUTURE BUY CALL SL TRIGRRED

PREMIUM FUTURES:

TATA MOTORS FUTURE SELL CALL SL TRIGRRED

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL BOOKED AT 7711

OPTION:

ARVIND LTD 225 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

IDEA 150 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

TATA MOTORS 450 PUT BUY CALL 1 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

ARVIND LTD 230 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

HUL 680 CALL BUY CALL 1 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:

INDICO REMEDIES BUY CALL 3 TG

COX & KING BUY CALL 1TGT (BOOKED AT 276.40),

APOLLO TYRE SELL CALL EXIT AT 171.50.

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 30 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper prices slipped on Tuesday, as prospects of growing supplies overshadowed encouraging signs of health in the global economy, and zinc retreated after hovering near three-year highs on expectations of a tightening market.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in two weeks before government data that may signal the strength of fuel consumption in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent fell in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded near the lowest level this week and was poised for a monthly decline as signs that U.S. economic growth is gaining momentum countered haven demand from increased tension in Ukraine and Gaza.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

German Prelim CPI m/m, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Advance GDP q/q, Advance GDP Price Index q/q, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate.

Markets open flat; L&T down over 6%

ITC, Bharti Airtel, Infosys and Reliance Industries among the top gainers

After opening in red, the benchmark indices moved into the green territory on account of gains in heavyweights like ITC, Bharti Airtel, Infosys and Reliance Industries.

At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was up nine points at 25,999 and the Nifty was unchanged at 7749.

The broader markets were flat with a positive bias.

Sectors & Stocks

On the sectoral front, Capital Goods index was the top loser down 4% along with Realty and Metal indices down 0.4% each.
A 6% cut on L&T dragged the capital goods index lower as the performance of engineering and construction major’s core business in the June quarter disappointed the Street, as execution remained weak in the domestic business.
Apart from L&T, Sesa Sterlite, Hindustan Unilever, Tata Steel, BHEL, Maruti Suzuki and Sun Pharma were some of the notable names in red, down 0.2-2%.
Among the gainers was Bharti Airtel up 4% after reporting 61% year-on-year jump in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,108 crore for the first quarter.

COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK 28 JULY 2014

 Agri Commodity Market

CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2795
SUP2:2740
RESIST1:2900
RESIST2:2926
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:11250
SUP2:11000
RESIST1:11620
RESIST2:11780
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6420
SUP2:6316
RESIST1:6600
RESIST2:6700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3660
SUP2:3600
RESIST1:3750
RESIST2:3860
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

bullion Commodity market

CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:430
SUP2:425       
RESIST1:437
RESIST2:440
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6090
SUP2:6010
RESIST1:6230
RESIST2:6300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW:   
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:27550
SUP2:27300
RESIST1:28100
RESIST2:28400
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43600
SUP2:42900   
RESIST1:44800
RESIST2:45300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 28 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

Copper dropped for a second day after Freeport-McMoRan Inc. received approval from Indonesia to resume exports from its Grasberg mine.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude fell for the fourth time in five days amid speculation that economic data may signal slowing growth in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent also dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Hedge funds increased their bets on a gold rally, just before prices fell for a second week as an accelerating U.S. economy outweighed concern that violence between Russia and Ukraine will escalate.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Flash Services PMI, Pending Home Sales m/m.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 25 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures rallied to a more than one-week high on Thursday, as investors cheered better than expected manufacturing data out of China, the world’s largest consumer of the red metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate headed for the third weekly decline this month amid speculation that rising U.S. gasoline stockpiles signal reduced demand in the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for its second straight weekly decline as the outlook for improving economic growth curbed demand for the precious metal as a haven.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ANZ Business Confidence, German Ifo Business Climate, Prelim GDP q/q, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 24 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper climbed for a fourth day, the longest rally in three weeks, on better-than-expected manufacturing data from China, the world’s largest user of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate swung between gains and losses after U.S. government data showed crude supplies at the delivery point for New York contracts shrank to the lowest level since 2008. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold fell to the lowest level in a week as a rally in equities damped demand for an alternative investment amid concern that physical consumption is faltering.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  

Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Rate Statement, Trade Balance, HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Manufacturing PMI, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing PMI, New Home Sales, Natural Gas Storage.

Commodity Tips Provider provides comprehensive market intelligence, forecasts, trading tips, prices and news for commodity markets, equity / shares and currency markets. . For 2 Days Free Trial, please visit our site at www.capitalstars.com or Call at 0731-6790000

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 23 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

Zinc and aluminium prices hit their highest in more than a year as investors sought exposure to commodities with improved fundamentals, but copper's gains were curbed by worries over China's property sector and over a build-up of stocks.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude fell for a second day after an industry report showed gasoline supplies expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded below the highest level in more than three months as investors assessed U.S. economic data that strengthened the dollar and boosted equities, damping demand for an alternative investment.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  

CPI q/q, MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes, MPC Official Bank Rate Votes, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Core Retail Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories.

2 DAYS FREE TRIALS   Take a free Trial for intraday as well as positional calls in stock cash and gain a profit in stock and commodity market. We provide 2 days Free trial to our client for stock tips and commodity tips. Fill the free Trial form and start earning in your trading.
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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 22 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Aluminum entered a bull market in London and traded near the highest in 16 months on speculation demand will exceed supply for the metal used in everything from cars to packaging.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate rose for a second day before stockpile data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent also increased in London. Natural gas futures slipped in New York to the lowest price in more than seven months as meteorologists predicted mild weather, which would curtail demand from power plants and help narrow a stockpile deficit.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded below the highest level in more than three months as the dollar strengthened amid the outlook for higher U.S. borrowing costs, countering haven demand fueled by tension in Ukraine and Gaza.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m, HPI m/m, Existing Home Sales, Richmond Manufacturing Index, CPI q/q, Trimmed Mean CPI q/q.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 21 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper held near its lowest in three weeks on Monday, hemmed in by nagging worries over China's property sector and a big Chinese stock build that highlighted an expected market surplus in the second half.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent swung between gains and losses amid speculation that the downing of a Malaysian Air jet will have no impact on supplies from Russia, the world’s largest energy exporter. West Texas Intermediate was steady in New York. Natural gas futures in the U.S. dropped for a third day to the lowest level in almost eight months as inventories rebounded at the quickest rate since 2001.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded little changed after the first weekly loss in seven as investors weighed the outlook for higher U.S. borrowing costs against demand for a haven amid unrest in Ukraine and Gaza. Palladium was near a 13-year high.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: German PPI m/m.