Morning Mail Update 28 November 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK may open on a positive note today tracking a firm trend across most markets in Asia. SGX Nifty is trading 41.00 points higher. All eyes will be on Q2 GDP data to be released today.    

FURTHER, Airtel starts rolling out 4G services in Africa.

Ceat to raise Rs400 cr through QIP.

RCom takes on Jio, offers unlimited data plan for Rs999 a month.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 389.73 cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. - 336.85 cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 17 OCT. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel climbed for the first time in four days, paring a sixth weekly decline, as some investors deemed this week’s drop to a seven-month low as excessive amid signs of an improving U.S. economy.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude rallied for a second day after trading below $80 a barrel for the first time since June 2012. Brent advanced in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a five-week high, headed for the first back-to-back weekly increase since July, amid speculation signs of a global slowdown led by Europe may delay the onset of higher U.S. borrowing costs. Palladium rose.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Core CPI m/m, Building Permits, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks, Housing Starts, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 15 SEPT. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:

Copper lead most industrial metals lower after factory and retail-sales data signalled further slowing in China, the world’s biggest user.

ENERGY WRAP:

West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude declined for a second day as China’s industrial output expanded at the weakest pace since the global financial crisis.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:

Gold rallied from an eight-month low, snapping three days of losses, on speculation that reduced prices may spur purchases before the Federal Reserve begins a two-day policy meeting.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:

Empire State Manufacturing Index, Capacity Utilization Rate, Capacity Utilization Rate.

Commodity Market Levels
Bullion- Market :-	Agri – Market ;-
CS CHANA (SEPTEMBER)) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2780                                                          SUP2:2740                     RESIST1:2830 RESIST2:2870 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS COPPER (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:417 SUP2:412                    RESIST1:426 RESIST2:428 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS JEERA (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:10675 SUP2:10530 RESIST1:10940 RESIST2:11100 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CRUDE (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5550 SUP2:5500 RESIST1:5710 RESIST2:5780 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS TURMERIC (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5980 SUP2:5850 RESIST1:6200 RESIST2:6370 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS GOLD (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:                              TREND BEARISH SUP1:26700 SUP2:26500 RESIST1:27430 RESIST2:27480 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:3080 SUP2:2950 RESIST1:3240 RESIST2:3280 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SILVER (DECEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:40950 SUP2:40500                      RESIST1:41800 RESIST2:42280                                                         TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

INDIAN BENCHMARK open lower, amid weak global cues,

INDIAN BENCHMARK open lower, amid weak global cues, as weak industrial growth in July is likely to weigh on investor sentiment. Inflation data based on wholesale price index (WPI) for August to be released later today.

FURTHER, SAIL will be in under pressure after the process for the 5% stake sale by the government will commence this week. Lupin Ltd has entered into an agreement with US-based Salix Pharmaceuticals to market gastrointestinal drugs in Canada.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 208cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open marginally lower as investors

INDIAN BENCHMARK open marginally lower as investors are likely to book profits after recent gains while weak Asian cues and geopolitical tensions would weigh on sentiment.

FURTHER, DLF will be in action after the Punjab and Haryana High Court on Wednesday set aside the Haryana government’s decision to allot 350 acres of land in Wazirabad, Gurgaon. United Spirits reported a consolidated net loss of Rs 4,489 crore for the year ended March 31, 2014.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 469cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking a bullish trend tracking Asian markets. Investors will be eying the HSBC India services PMI today.

FURTHER, NMDC's iron ore sales rose 23% to 25.2 lakh tonnes for the month of August. The company had dispatched 20.5 lakh tonnes iron ore during the same month last year. Hindalco has been exploring various options to raise USD 1 billion-plus or around Rs 5,000 to 6,000 crore funds.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 167cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE

INDIAN BENCHMARKS surges…Nifty past 8,000 to record high

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS surged with nifty past the psychologically important 8,000 level for the first time gained after better-than-expected quarterly GDP data.

•    Voltas gained 2 percent as Bank of America Merrill Lynch reiterates buy rating on the stock with an increased target price of Rs 305 per share.

•    Further, Bharti Airtel climbed 1.7 percent after Airtel Network Kenya has acquired 2.7 million subscribers of Essar telecommunications Kenya.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 8035 and above this 8070. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7980 and next support will be 7920.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ends August series with modest gains

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with amid volatility as monthly derivative contracts expired today and investors eyed GDP April-June quarter data scheduled for release tomorrow.

•    Shares in NHPC Ltd surged as much as 6.4 per cent as Traders focus could shift to hydro power as an alternative to coal in electricity generation.

•    Further, SKS Microfinance Ltd's shares rose 2.2 percent after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an overweight rating saying India's microfinance industry has $90 billion demand potential.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7970 and above this 8010. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7940 and next support will be 7910.

MORNING MAIL 28 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open marginally higher amid firm global cues. Further, markets are likely to remain volatile in the latter half of the trading session with expiry of August derivative contracts today.

FURTHER, Piramal Enterprises is rejigging its research and development activities with a focus on molecules that are at an advanced stage of development. DLF will continue to be under pressure after the Supreme Court on Wednesday directed DLF to deposit Rs 630 crore in the registry within three months.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 236cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS mark record closing high ahead of F&O expiry

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with gains for the second consecutive trading session ahead of the F&O expiry tomorrow. Sentiment was on the positive side as the ongoing geopolitical tension in Israel, which was a major cause for concern seems to be finally ending as Hamas and Israel agreed to an open-ended cease-fire.

•    DLF fell 4.6 percent on Supreme Court order asking company to pay Rs 630 crore fine within three months.

•    Further, HDFC Bank declined 0.7 percent on the matter related to increase in FII investment limit may not be taken up by Foreign Investment Promotion Board in its meeting scheduled on August 29.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7945 and above this 7970. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7915 and next support will be 7860.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS continues retreat from record high

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended flat, amid a volatile trading session, even metal stocks rebounded while power stocks extended losses after the apex court's verdict on coal block allocations.

·         Tata Power fell another 2.8 percent on the Supreme Court’s order that stayed an interim order of the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity (APTEL) to allow payment of compensatory tariffs.

·         Further, Oil and Natural Gas Corp ended down 2.5 percent on equity dilution concerns due to a potential share sale by the government.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7915 and above this 7970. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7855 and next support will be 7780

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 26 August 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium in London climbed for a second day following Alcoa Inc.’s decision to close a smelter in Italy and before durable goods orders data from the U.S., the second-largest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in seven months before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S, the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held losses near a two-month low on speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise borrowing costs next year, strengthening the dollar and damping demand for an alternative investment.

                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, CB Leading Index m/m, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, HPI m/m, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS down …Late trade sell-off on SC order

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS hit fresh record highs early today ended flat amid selling pressure in metal and power stocks after the Supreme Court said that guidelines were breached in coal block allocations during the UPA government and that the terms of allotment, going as far back as 1993, were themselves illegal.

·         Alstom T&D gained 5.5 percent on joint venture bagging order worth Rs 3,250 crore.

·         Further, Lakshmi Vilas Bank has announced that the Bank opened its Rights Issue for an amount of Rs409.79 crores on August 08, 2014. The issue remained open for 15 days and closed on August 22, 2014.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7970 and above this 7995. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7895 and next support will be 7855.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 14 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper fell on Tuesday to near six-week lows as improving supply and renewed tension between Ukraine and Russia combined with a summer lull to curb investors' appetite for risky assets.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell amid speculation that U.S. oil demand is slowing after a government report showed weekly crude inventories expanded for the time since June. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded little changed below a three-week high as investors gauged the health of the U.S. economy and tensions persisted in Ukraine and the Middle East. Gold demand in China shrank in the second quarter as consumers in the biggest user bought fewer bars, coins and jewelry amid a clampdown on corruption and as the buying spurred by last year’s price slump wasn’t sustained.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales q/q, French Prelim GDP q/q, German Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Import Prices m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 13 AUGUST 2014

·        Tata Steel Q1 profit plunges 70% on provision, higher tax

Tata Steel has reported a 70.4 percent decline in consolidated net profit at Rs 337.3 crore for the April-June quarter, impacted by provision for impairment of non-current assets, higher tax expenses and interest cost. Profit in the year-ago period was Rs 1,139 crore.

·        Crompton Greaves sells Kanjurmarg land to Runwal Group

Crompton Greaves has sold its Kanjurmarg land parcel to Runwal Group for Rs1,015 crore. The 34-acre land parcel has been on the block for a while now. The deal pegs per acre land value at Rs 30 crore. Crompton Greaves has been looking for funds as its debt stands at Rs2,200-2,500 crore.

·        Siemens posts Q3 profit at Rs 13 cr, revenue falls 10%

Siemens has reported the third quarter (April-June) net profit at Rs 13 crore on lower revenue and weak operational performance. It had posted a loss of Rs 48.8 crore in the year-ago period.

·        Hindustan Copper Q1 net profit down by 29% (YoY)

Hindustan Copper has announced the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014. Net profit of the company slipped by 28.91% to Rs13.20 crore Vs Rs18.57 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 28.15% to Rs314.94 crore Vs Rs245.75 crore YoY.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 13 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Indonesia’s ban on nickel ore exports is resonating globally as prices climb to the highest since 2012, prompting companies from Avebury Nickel Mines Ltd. to Poseidon Nickel Ltd. to restart operations at idled mines.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a second day after an industry report showed crude and gasoline supplies expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a three-week high as investors weighed the prospects for renewed fighting in Gaza and simmering tension between Ukraine and Russia against the outlook for the U.S. economy and a stronger dollar. Gold imports by India, the world’s biggest consumer after China, will probably decline for a third year as the government keeps curbs on shipments to prevent the current-account deficit from widening and to support the rupee.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Prelim GDP q/q, New Loans, M2 Money Supply y/y, Industrial Production y/y, Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y, Retail Sales y/y, Average Earnings Index 3m/y, Claimant Count Change, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, BOE Inflation Report, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m , FOMC Member Dudley Speaks, Business Inventories m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, 10-y Bond Auction.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS mark second consecutive weekly fall on geopolitical concerns

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS flat-to-lower as investors eye global factors. Concerns about potential U.S. strikes on Iraq and tensions between the West and Russia are among geo-political risk factors.

·         Further, JSW Steel reported Crude Steel Production for July 2014, at 11.13 lac tonnes showing growth of 12% over corresponding month of previous year.

·         Corporation Bank  net profit slipped 38.8 percent year-on-year to Rs 231.4 crore in the quarter ended June 2014 dented by lower net interest income and other income, and higher provisions

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7600 and above this 7680. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7540 and next support will be 7460.