COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 17 OCT. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel climbed for the first time in four days, paring a sixth weekly decline, as some investors deemed this week’s drop to a seven-month low as excessive amid signs of an improving U.S. economy.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude rallied for a second day after trading below $80 a barrel for the first time since June 2012. Brent advanced in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a five-week high, headed for the first back-to-back weekly increase since July, amid speculation signs of a global slowdown led by Europe may delay the onset of higher U.S. borrowing costs. Palladium rose.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Core CPI m/m, Building Permits, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks, Housing Starts, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open lower, amid weak global cues,

INDIAN BENCHMARK open lower, amid weak global cues, as weak industrial growth in July is likely to weigh on investor sentiment. Inflation data based on wholesale price index (WPI) for August to be released later today.

FURTHER, SAIL will be in under pressure after the process for the 5% stake sale by the government will commence this week. Lupin Ltd has entered into an agreement with US-based Salix Pharmaceuticals to market gastrointestinal drugs in Canada.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 208cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 09 SEPT. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

 Nickel lead industrial metals lower as the dollar climbed, curbing demand for commodities as an investment. Copper prices surged on Monday on solid trade data from China.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude rose for the first time in four days before stockpile data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded near a three-month low as the dollar advanced on speculation the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates next year, curbing demand for an alternative investment. Platinum fell to the lowest since April.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

NAB Business Confidence, Manufacturing Production m/m, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, NFIB Small Business Index, JOLTS Job Openings, FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks

COMMODITY MARKET LEVEL
BULLION COMMODITY	AGRI COMMODITY
CS COPPER (NOVEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:424 SUP2:420                    RESIST1:432 RESIST2:438 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CHANA (SEPTEMBER)) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:2745                                                          SUP2:2695                     RESIST1:2870 RESIST2:2950 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS CRUDE (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5550 SUP2:5490 RESIST1:5700 RESIST2:5740 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS JEERA (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:10920 SUP2:10675 RESIST1:11100 RESIST2:11340 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS GOLD (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:                                TREND BEARISH SUP1:27020 SUP2:26550 RESIST1:27480 RESIST2:27640 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS TURMERIC (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:6310 SUP2:6164 RESIST1:6484 RESIST2:6820 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS SILVER (DECEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:41200 SUP2:40500                      RESIST1:42450 RESIST2:42950                                                         TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:3080 SUP2:2950 RESIST1:3280 RESIST2:3370 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
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INDIAN BENCHMARKS mark record closing high ahead of F&O expiry

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with gains for the second consecutive trading session ahead of the F&O expiry tomorrow. Sentiment was on the positive side as the ongoing geopolitical tension in Israel, which was a major cause for concern seems to be finally ending as Hamas and Israel agreed to an open-ended cease-fire.

•    DLF fell 4.6 percent on Supreme Court order asking company to pay Rs 630 crore fine within three months.

•    Further, HDFC Bank declined 0.7 percent on the matter related to increase in FII investment limit may not be taken up by Foreign Investment Promotion Board in its meeting scheduled on August 29.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7945 and above this 7970. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7915 and next support will be 7860.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 27 AUGUST 2014

•    UCO Bank stock slips 8%

Shares of UCO Bank slipped 8% after report that the government ordered limited forensic audit into some non-performing accounts of the Bank to find out any irregularities in sanction of loans.

•    Tech Mahindra in talks to acquire more companies

Tech Mahindra is talks to acquire firms to further enhance its geographical reach competence in order to reach its goal of $5 billion by CY2015.

•    Hero Moto Corp aims to sell 12 million units by 2020

Hero Moto Corp management has set a target of 12million unit sales by the year 2020 and also reiterated its target to derive 10% of the volumes from exports. The company had sold 6.2 million units in FY 2014.

•    Tata Global plans to give thrust to its water business

Tata Global Beverages is planning to give a thrust to its water business with a goal to take the segment's contribution to company's revenues to 10% from 1% currently positive in long run, no near term addition to earnings.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 27 August 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium traded near an 18-month high on speculation demand is rising amid signs a recovery is gathering pace in the U.S. and before data forecast to show the country’s economy expanded for the second quarter.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near a three-day high before a government report forecast to show crude stockpiles dropped for a second week in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce as investors weighed a strengthening U.S. economy and dollar against signs of easing tensions around the world.

                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Crude Oil Inventories.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 26 August 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium in London climbed for a second day following Alcoa Inc.’s decision to close a smelter in Italy and before durable goods orders data from the U.S., the second-largest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in seven months before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S, the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held losses near a two-month low on speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise borrowing costs next year, strengthening the dollar and damping demand for an alternative investment.

                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, CB Leading Index m/m, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, HPI m/m, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS down …Late trade sell-off on SC order

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS hit fresh record highs early today ended flat amid selling pressure in metal and power stocks after the Supreme Court said that guidelines were breached in coal block allocations during the UPA government and that the terms of allotment, going as far back as 1993, were themselves illegal.

·         Alstom T&D gained 5.5 percent on joint venture bagging order worth Rs 3,250 crore.

·         Further, Lakshmi Vilas Bank has announced that the Bank opened its Rights Issue for an amount of Rs409.79 crores on August 08, 2014. The issue remained open for 15 days and closed on August 22, 2014.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7970 and above this 7995. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7895 and next support will be 7855.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS closes marginally higher… PSU banks gains

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS 

ended marginally higher led by gains in bank shares after Finance Minister Arun Jaitley today said that the government was working towards bringing in more professionalism in the functioning of banks and improving risk management, amid the backdrop of the recent scams in some public sector banks.

·         Shares of Dr. Reddy's Laboratories ended lower by 1.5% after report stated that the company was in talks with a US regulator over allegations it violated packaging rules for some prescription drugs sold there between 2008 and 2012.

·         Further, Zee Entertainment rose over a percent as it is all set to replace United Spirits in CNX Nifty with effect from the September 19.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7920 and above this 7945. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7855 and next support will be 7780.

Morning Mail Upadate 21 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a flat note tracking a mostly weak trend across markets in Asia as a sharp slowdown in China’s manufacturing underscored concerns over the health of the world’s second biggest economy, overshadowing Federal Reserve’s commitment to continue to keep interest rates low.

FURTHER, DLF Ltd is planning to reduce debt to Rs 12,000-14,000 crore by FY17 through asset monetization. Reliance Infrastructure has filed an appeal in the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity against the Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission pleading a stay on its recent order in change-over and switchover of its consumers to Tata Power in the Mumbai distribution area.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 481cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

Top Corporate News 18 August 2014

• Jubilant FoodWorks surges as Bofa start with Buy rating

Jubilant Food Works rose nearly 6%, after Bank of America Merrill Lynch starts coverage with a Buy rating and a target of Rs1,375. The company in a sweet spot in the large and high-growth quick service restaurants market.

• ITC slips on buzz of anti-tobacco laws

ITC fell nearly 3% on reports the Centre is planning to introduce tougher provisions under law to curb tobacco consumption in the country.

• Tata Motors jumps 3% on JLR July sales

Shares of Tata Motors jumped 3 percent, riding on its Jaguar Land Rover July sales number. The luxury car business sold 39467 units (up 12.2 percent) as compared to 35162 units in the same period last fiscal.

• Tata Power jumps 4%, MERC grants 25-yr distribution licence

Shares of Tata Power jumped over 4 percent as state electricity regulator Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission (MERC) has granted 25 years distribution licence to Tata Power for supplying power in city and suburban areas.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 14 August 2014

• Hindalco Q1 profit drops 31% on high fuel, finance cost

Hindalco Industries missed street expectations with the first quarter net profit falling 30.9 percent year-on-year to Rs 327.5 crore dented by higher power and fuel, finance, and raw material costs. Profit in the corresponding quarter of last fiscal was Rs 474.1 crore.

• Voltas jumps after strong Q1 results

Voltas surged 7.58% after consolidated net profit jumped 165.85% to Rs 109 crore on 9.36% growth in sales to Rs 1752 crore in Q1 June 2014 over Q1 June 2013.

• PFC Q1 net profit up 21% YoY

PFC has announced the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit of the company rose by 20.86% to Rs 1448.26 crore Vs Rs 1198.24 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 18.07% to Rs 5923.90 crore Vs Rs 5017.10 crore YoY.

• United Breweries Q1 net profit up 6.51% YoY

United Breweries has announced the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit of the company rose by 6.51% to Rs 128.84 crore Vs Rs 120.96 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 7% to Rs 1456.94 crore Vs Rs 1361.56 crore YoY.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 14 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper fell on Tuesday to near six-week lows as improving supply and renewed tension between Ukraine and Russia combined with a summer lull to curb investors' appetite for risky assets.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell amid speculation that U.S. oil demand is slowing after a government report showed weekly crude inventories expanded for the time since June. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded little changed below a three-week high as investors gauged the health of the U.S. economy and tensions persisted in Ukraine and the Middle East. Gold demand in China shrank in the second quarter as consumers in the biggest user bought fewer bars, coins and jewelry amid a clampdown on corruption and as the buying spurred by last year’s price slump wasn’t sustained.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales q/q, French Prelim GDP q/q, German Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Import Prices m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat ,late recovery.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS end flat amid choppy trading session as investors turned cautious on lower industrial growth and rising CPI in July. Heavy selling led the Indian stock markets to slip in to the negative territory during the day.

·         Further, Jaiprakash Associates fell 9.16%, after the company posted a net loss of Rs80.61 crore in Q1 June 2014 compared with net profit Rs334.51 crore in Q1 June 2013.

·         Bank of Baroda fell 3.73%, after the central bank restricted foreign institutional investors from buying additional shares in the bank as their shareholding has reached the limit.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7760 and above this 7790. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7695 and next support will be 7655.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 13 AUGUST 2014

·        Tata Steel Q1 profit plunges 70% on provision, higher tax

Tata Steel has reported a 70.4 percent decline in consolidated net profit at Rs 337.3 crore for the April-June quarter, impacted by provision for impairment of non-current assets, higher tax expenses and interest cost. Profit in the year-ago period was Rs 1,139 crore.

·        Crompton Greaves sells Kanjurmarg land to Runwal Group

Crompton Greaves has sold its Kanjurmarg land parcel to Runwal Group for Rs1,015 crore. The 34-acre land parcel has been on the block for a while now. The deal pegs per acre land value at Rs 30 crore. Crompton Greaves has been looking for funds as its debt stands at Rs2,200-2,500 crore.

·        Siemens posts Q3 profit at Rs 13 cr, revenue falls 10%

Siemens has reported the third quarter (April-June) net profit at Rs 13 crore on lower revenue and weak operational performance. It had posted a loss of Rs 48.8 crore in the year-ago period.

·        Hindustan Copper Q1 net profit down by 29% (YoY)

Hindustan Copper has announced the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014. Net profit of the company slipped by 28.91% to Rs13.20 crore Vs Rs18.57 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 28.15% to Rs314.94 crore Vs Rs245.75 crore YoY.