Morning Mail Upadate 21 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a flat note tracking a mostly weak trend across markets in Asia as a sharp slowdown in China’s manufacturing underscored concerns over the health of the world’s second biggest economy, overshadowing Federal Reserve’s commitment to continue to keep interest rates low.

FURTHER, DLF Ltd is planning to reduce debt to Rs 12,000-14,000 crore by FY17 through asset monetization. Reliance Infrastructure has filed an appeal in the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity against the Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission pleading a stay on its recent order in change-over and switchover of its consumers to Tata Power in the Mumbai distribution area.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 481cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher with the Nifty rising above 7900

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher with the Nifty rising above 7900 level supported by positive global cues, and capital goods, oil & gas, banks and metals stocks.

FURTHER, Aurobindo Pharma will be expanding the capacity of its active pharmaceutical ingredients ( APIs) unit (unit-11) in Vizag this fiscal. Indian Oil Corp is reportedly planning to raise processing of cheaper crude oil varieties to 30% by 2017-18.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs. 490cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

                                                                                                                                                                       

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS end at record closing high

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended at fresh life time high on positive global cues and a sharp decline in crude oil prices.

·         Tata Motors DVR jumped 5.6 percent after a report in the Times of India newspaper that Indian exchanges may consider admitting such shares on their benchmark indexes.

·         Further, Jubilant Foodworks gained 6.2 percent after Bank of America Merrill Lynch started coverage with a buy rating and a target price of 1,375 rupees, saying the company is in a "sweet spot" in the large and high-growth quick service restaurants market.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7910 and above this 7945. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7780 and next support will be 7740.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat ,late recovery.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS end flat amid choppy trading session as investors turned cautious on lower industrial growth and rising CPI in July. Heavy selling led the Indian stock markets to slip in to the negative territory during the day.

·         Further, Jaiprakash Associates fell 9.16%, after the company posted a net loss of Rs80.61 crore in Q1 June 2014 compared with net profit Rs334.51 crore in Q1 June 2013.

·         Bank of Baroda fell 3.73%, after the central bank restricted foreign institutional investors from buying additional shares in the bank as their shareholding has reached the limit.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7760 and above this 7790. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7695 and next support will be 7655.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 05 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper rose on Monday as a rally in China's stock markets indicated improving prospects for demand in the world's largest consumer of the industrial metal, although growing global supplies kept investors cautious.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the highest price in three days before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent in London was steady.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce as Portugal’s bailout of Banco Espirito Santo SA reduced concern the lender’s crisis may spread and tension in Gaza eased, damping demand for a haven. Silver rose from a six-week low.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, HSBC Services PMI, Cash Rate, RBA Rate Statement, Services PMI, Final Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Factory Orders m/m, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism.

Sensex hovers around 25,600; auto stocks gain

Rate sensitives gain ahead of RBI's policy review tomorrow

Markets were firm in early noon trades supported by gains in interest sensitives ahead of RBI's policy review tomorrow. At 1205 hrs, the Sensex was up 132 points at 25,613 and the Nifty gained 50 points to trade at 7,652.

In the broader market, the smallcap index outperformed the BSE benchmark with gains of 1%. Meanwhile, the midcap index was up 0.6%.

The rupee is trading at 60.90/91 versus Friday's close of 61.18/19, tracking losses in the dollar compared with most other Asian currencies. The pair is seen in 60.80 to 61.20 range during the session.

Sectors & Stocks

Health Care index down 0.2% was the only sectoral index in red.
Consumer Durables, Auto, IT indices were up 1-2.5%.
Banking index up 0.5% have come off day highs.
HDFC twins, Sun Pharma, Coal India, Bharti Airtel and Cipla down 0.8-1.7% were the losers among Sensex-30.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 04 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper was a tad firmer on Monday after weak U.S. employment data soothed concerns that the Federal Reserve would soon begin to draw back liquidity that has cushioned demand for metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in six months before data that will signal the strength of the economy in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: A slew of worries fueled by U.S. and European data, Argentina's default on its debts and conflict in Ukraine and in the Middle East sent investors rushing to safe-harbor gold positions on Friday.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales m/m, Construction PMI, Loan Officer Survey.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 01 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper eased on Friday after a rout on Wall Street over Argentinian default soured risk appetite and ahead of a deluge of economic indicators out later in the session, including an assessment of activity in China's vast manufacturing sector.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a fifth day after capping the biggest monthly decline in more than two years amid signs of weaker fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for a third weekly loss in the longest run of declines since September as U.S. employment data may add to signs that the world’s largest economy is gaining traction.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, PPI q/q, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks, Manufacturing PMI, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Personal Spending m/m, Personal Income m/m, Final Manufacturing PMI, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Total Vehicle Sales.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS snap 8 day rally… Nifty below 7800.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS fell after hitting a record high for a third straight day as investors booked profits after majority of the quarterly earnings announced by corporate Inc disappointed.
•    Further, Colgate Palmolive India Ltd has announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit down 27.16% at Rs134.91 crore vs Rs185.22 crore YoY. Total Income up 9.86% at Rs963.35 crore vs Rs876.81 crore YoY.
•    The government plans to sell a 5% stake in state-run Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) this fiscal year ending March.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7850 and above this 7880. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7750 and next support will be 7700.

   NEWS TO WATCH:

•    Watch out Quarterly Earnings of Bank of Baroda, Dabur India, L&T, HUL, Havells India, UPL on 28TH July 2014.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 25 July 2014

• PNB Q1 profit beats forecast, up 10% but asset quality weak

Punjab National Bank net profit jumped 10.2 percent on yearly basis to Rs 1,405 crore on account of fall in provisions but decline in other income limited the profitability .The asset quality worsened during April-June quarter of current financial year 2014-15. The bank reported growth in profit for the first time in last four quarters.

• Shriram Transport Finance Q1 PAT drops 10% to Rs 306 cr

Shriram Transport Finance Corporation April-June quarter (Q1FY15) net profit declined by 10 percent to Rs 306 crore from Rs 341 crore in corresponding quarter of last fiscal. However, total income was up by 6 percent to Rs 2,015.8 crore from Rs 1,891.3 crore, Y-o-Y.

• UCO Bank Q1 profit up 2%, other income falls significantly

UCO Bank has reported a net profit of Rs 520 crore in the first quarter (April-June) of current financial year, increased marginally (1.7 percent) compared to Rs 511 crore in same quarter last year on account of significant fall in other income that was the reason behind fall in share price.

• Allahabad Bank Q1 net profit tanks 73% but NII rises 23%

Allahabad Bank reported a 72.7 percent decline in net profit at Rs 112.7 crore in April-June quarter (Q1FY15) compared to Rs 413 crore in same quarter last year on account of higher provisions, tax cost and fall in other income but net interest income growth was very strong.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS hit record high on FDI hike in insurance.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS rose to a record high for a second straight session after cabinet approval for a higher FDI limit in insurance and a reorganization in foreign debt limits reinforced optimism about the government's reform agenda.

·         Further, Wipro has announced the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit of the company rose by 54.49% to Rs 2067.20 crore Vs Rs 1338.00 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 18.62% to Rs 10574.50 crore Vs Rs 8914.30 crore YoY.

·         Ambuja Cements has announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit of the company rose by 26.06% to Rs 408.70 crore Vs Rs 324.20 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 16.61% to Rs 2858.14 crore Vs Rs 2450.91 crore YoY.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7850 and above this 7880. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7770 and next support will be 7750.

 

NEWS TO WATCH:

·         Watch out Quarterly Earnings of Allahabad bank, Indian Bank, Just Dial, Kalindee Rail , PNB, UCO bank, Colgate, LIC Hsg Finance, Shriram Transport Finance  25^TH July 2014.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end at record closing highs

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS gained for the seventh straight session to end at record closing highs led by gains in technology stocks on continued foreign-investor buying.

·         Further, Mcleod Russel India has announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 YoY. The Company has posted a net loss of Rs32.00 crore Vs to net profit of Rs26.21 crore YoY. Total Income has decreased to Rs119.54 crore Vs Rs191.73 crore YoY.

·         Sun TV plunged 7.07%, after attorney general Mukul Rohatgi cleared the prosecution of promoter Kalanithi Maran’s brother and former Union minister Dayanidhi Maran by the CBI.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7810 and above this 7850. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7752 and next support will be 7705.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ends higher…Sensex above 26000.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS rose more than 1%, approaching their record highs hit earlier this month after telecom stocks surged following Idea Cellular better-than-expected earnings while stronger Asian shares also bolstered sentiments.

·         Further, Shares of Exide Industries surged over 7%, its highest level since July 2011 The company reported 16% year on year increase in net profit at Rs185 crore for the first quarter ended June 30, 2014 (Q1), due to higher realization.

·         Shares of telecom services providers such as Bharti Airtel and Idea Cellular ended higher after the telecom regulator authority of India (TRAI) recommended allowing sharing of all categories of airwaves held by operators, the move could help companies to reduce cost of mobile services.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7775 and above this 7800. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7705 and next support will be 7675.

NEWS TO WATCH:

·         Watch out Quarterly Earnings of Cairn India, Yes bank, Mcleod Russel, Geometric, Liberty Shoes 23^RD July 2014.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end higher led by RIL on robust Q1 earnings

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS gained for the fifth straight session amid encouraging first quarter earnings from index heavyweights Reliance Industries and HDFC. Meanwhile, foreign institutional investors turned focus to the broader markets where valuations are seen reasonable at current levels.

·         Further, Idea Cellular reported a 57.2 percent jump in quarterly profit, consolidated first-quarter profit was 7.28 billion rupees ($120.8 million), up from 4.63 billion rupees a year earlier.

·         HDFC reported a 14.7 percent growth, in first quarter net profit at Rs 1,345 crore compared to Rs 1,173 crore in same quarter last year.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7730 and above this 7800. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7675 and next support will be 7615.

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