COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 19 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper in London traded near the highest price in almost a week after data showed confidence among U.S. homebuilders reached the most in seven months and as investors look ahead to Chinese manufacturing data.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for the second time in three days before supply data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce after two days of losses on optimism that the U.S. recovery is gaining traction while tensions ease in Ukraine and the Middle East. Palladium traded near a 13-year high and platinum rose.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, CPI y/y, Building Permits, CPI m/m, Core CPI m/m, Housing Starts.

                                                                                                                                                                       

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 18 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: COPPER futures were up on the London Metal Exchange Friday, rebounding from the previous session's slump amid renewed hopes that central banks will step in to boost economic growth.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent crude fell amid speculation that threats to Middle East oil supplies are easing. West Texas Intermediate declined in New York. Refinery breakdowns from Kansas to Texas are giving gasoline a boost, spurring speculators to increase bullish bets for the first time in six weeks as the Labor Day holiday approaches.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold decreased for a second day as the outlook for an improving U.S. economy outweighed tension in Ukraine. Silver fell to a two-month low, while palladium retreated from the highest level in more than 13 years.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y, NAHB Housing Market Index.

                                                                                                                                                                       

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open trading session on a flat note following mixed Global cues.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open trading session on a flat note following mixed Global cues.   

FURTHER, JSW Steel will acquire smaller rival Welspun Maxsteel for about Rs1,000 crore as to source cheaper raw material, cut production costs and strengthen its presence in the northern and western markets.

DHFL has announced that the Committee of the Board of Directors at its meeting held on August 14, 2014, has allotted 43,914 fully paid up equity shares of 10 each to eligible employees of the Company.    

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 135cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK 28 JULY 2014

 Agri Commodity Market

CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2795
SUP2:2740
RESIST1:2900
RESIST2:2926
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:11250
SUP2:11000
RESIST1:11620
RESIST2:11780
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6420
SUP2:6316
RESIST1:6600
RESIST2:6700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3660
SUP2:3600
RESIST1:3750
RESIST2:3860
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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bullion Commodity market

CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:430
SUP2:425       
RESIST1:437
RESIST2:440
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6090
SUP2:6010
RESIST1:6230
RESIST2:6300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW:   
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:27550
SUP2:27300
RESIST1:28100
RESIST2:28400
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43600
SUP2:42900   
RESIST1:44800
RESIST2:45300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat on Geopolitical tension.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS closed flat after a range-bound session to perform in-line with most Asian peers amid rising geopolitical tensions after a strike on Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 in eastern Ukraine near the Russian border on Thursday that killed nearly 300 passengers on-board.

•    Further, Shares of Wipro was up 2% after the company announced that it has entered into a strategic alliance with Alberta-based ATCO Ltd., one of Canada's premier corporations.

•    Zee Entertainment Enterprises has reported a 6 percent fall in its first quarter (April-June) consolidated net profit at Rs 211 crore compared to Rs 224.6 crore in the year-ago period.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7685 and above this 7730. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7595 and next support will be 7535.
  
NEWS TO WATCH:
•    Watch out Quarterly Earnings of HDFC Bank, HDIL, Idea Cellular, Canara Bank, Exide Industries, Hindustan Zinc 21ST July 2014.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end flat amid range bound trades

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended flat amid choppy trades after investors turned cautious and booked profits at higher levels.

·         Further, Bajaj Auto lost 2.3% after weak first quarter earnings. It has reported a flat growth in the first-quarter standalone net profit at Rs 740 crore, due to higher expenditure including employee cost.

·         Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd fell 3.1 percent after 11.8 million shares changed hands in twenty-four block deals on the BSE exchange.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7665 and above this 7730. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7530 and next support will be 7460.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended at a day’s high on RBI measures for infra bonds ...Nifty re-conquers 7600.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended at a day’s high extending the rally for second consecutive trading session after the Reserve Bank of India relaxed financing norms for infrastructure development and affordable housing. RBI exempted long-term bonds from mandatory regulatory norms like CRR and SLR if the money raised is used for funding of infrastructure and affordable housing projects.

·         Further, Tata Communications plans to invest US$200mn over a period of three years to double its data centre capacity in India.

·         Federal Bank net profit in April-June more than doubled to Rs. 220 crore from Rs. 106 crore in the corresponding period last year on account of lower provisions for bad loans.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7640 and above this 7665. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7530 and next support will be 7460.

Morning Mail ......

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking firm global cues. The progress of monsoons and the possibility of a growth-oriented Budget add to the sentiments.

FURTHER, United Spirits is likely to remain in focus after world's largest liquor maker Diageo Plc acquired an additional 26% in India's largest alcoholic beverages company for Rs 11,448.91 crore. Reliance Communications has initiated the process to monetise its real estate assets across the country, aiming to raise Rs 5,000 crore through this.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 407cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS end lower on June F&O expiry

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended 1% lower following the expiry of June F&O series dragged down by oil shares after the government defers its decision on gas price hike by three months till December 31, 2014.

Further, ITC marginally positive after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to overweight from equal-weight and increased the price target to Rs 400 rupees from Rs 360. Aban Offshore closed nearly 5% up after Macquarie upgraded the stock from underperform to outperform and raised its target to Rs 1,090 from Rs 430.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7570 and above this 7595. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7480 and next support will be 7440.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS

·        Axis Bank dips on stake sale by LIC

Axis Bank has dipped 3%, extending its nearly 8% fall in past week, after Life Insurance Corporation of India have offloaded equity shares worth of Rs 51 crore through open market transaction during last week.

·        Aurobindo Pharma hits new high

Aurobindo Pharma has moved higher by 3%, also its record high, in otherwise weak market after the company has received the US health regulator’s approval to market a generic version of AbbVie Inc.’s Depakote ER extended-release tablets, used for treating mental illness, in the US market.

·        United Spirits up 0.5%

Edelweiss Group companies bought 2.57 percent equity stake in United Spirits by revoking pledged shares. Edelweiss Group holds 4.33 percent in USL as pledged shares. Total holding of the group in USL stands at 6.90 percent.

·        Oil and gas shares bounce back

Shares of state-owned oil marketing companies are trading higher by up to 4%, erasing their entire early morning losses, after the government said under-recovery on high speed diesel declined further to Rs 1.62 per litre from Rs 2.80 per litre earlier.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat with a marginal negative bias.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat with a marginal negative bias. YES Bank is set to raise $500 million by issuing fresh shares to a cluster of investors.

FURTHER, Bharat Heavy Electricals reported a 43% year-on-year decline in net profit for the financial year ended March 2014, a seventh consecutive fall. Shares of Crompton Greaves were up over 3% after the company's profit rose 2.5 times to Rs 63.82 crore in fourth quarter as against Rs 25.27 core profit in same period last year due to improvement in power systems business and rise in other income.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs 522cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 195cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.