COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 10 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: China's copper imports fell 7.9 percent month-on-month in June, dropping as Chinese banks reduced lending for metals imports following a probe into an alleged metals fraud at Qingdao port.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a 10th day, the longest losing streak on record, after government data showed U.S. gasoline stockpiles expanded amid reduced demand in the world’s biggest oil user. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held near the highest level in a week as the dollar fell after the U.S. Federal Reserve released minutes of its last meeting and tension increased in the Middle East, boosting demand for a haven. Palladium advanced to a 13-year high.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ECB President Draghi Speaks, Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance, Asset Purchase Facility, Official Bank Rate, MPC Rate Statement, Unemployment Claims, Wholesale Inventories m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 09 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:

Zinc prices rose to a 35-month high as inventories dwindled amid speculation that increasing auto sales in China and the U.S. will boost metal use.

ENERGY WRAP:

West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in more than a month before inventory data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:

Gold rose as a decline in equities and the dollar spurred demand for an alternative investment amid increased holdings in the largest exchange-traded fund. Palladium headed for the longest rally in 14 years.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:

CPI y/y, PPI y/y, Crude Oil Inventories, 10-y Bond Auction, FOMC Meeting Minutes.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 08 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel led industrial metals lower, falling for the third session as some investors deemed supply of the refined metal sufficient for now, even after Indonesia banned raw ore exports in January.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near a one-month low, capping its longest losing streak since 2009 before U.S. stockpile data that may signal the strength of demand from the world’s biggest oil user. Brent slid in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held a retreat from a three-month high as investors assessed the timing of U.S. interest-rate increases. Palladium declined from the highest price since 2001 to snap the longest rally in 10 months.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: NZIER Business Confidence, NAB Business Confidence, Manufacturing Production m/m, NFIB Small Business Index, JOLTS Job Openings, FOMC Member Kocherlakota Speaks.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 07 JULY 2014

·        Elder Pharmaceuticals plans to strengthen its remaining existing brands

Elder Pharmaceuticals Limited post the Torrent Pharmaceuticals Rs. 2004 crore deal, for which the transaction for sale and transfer of its branded domestic formulations business in India and Nepal on a slump sale basis got completed last week.

·        RCom in demand as FTSE hikes weightage

Reliance Communications rose 1.15% after index provider FTSE on Friday, 4 July 2014, said it has raised the weightage of the stock in three indices.

                                                                                                        

·        IDFC gains 7% on Morgan Stanley upgrade

IDFC has surged over 7% on back of heavy volumes after Morgan Stanley raises its price target for the company to Rs 175 from Rs 115.

·        Tata Motors hits new high

Tata Motors is higher by 2% after Chairman Cyrus P Mistry said the company is working on a strong pipeline of products for the domestic market keeping in view changing customer needs to make the company more profitable over the years.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 07 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel fell from a six-week high in London amid speculation supply of the metal is ample for now, easing concern about a potential shortage after Indonesia barred exports of raw ores in January. London copper began the week little changed; broadly holding on to last week's 3 percent gains on tighter-than-expected supply.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent traded near the lowest price in more than three weeks as Libya prepares to increase exports and amid speculation that Iraq’s crude supplies remain safe from violence. West Texas Intermediate was steady in New York.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold extended a decline from a three-month high as the outlook for higher borrowing costs in the U.S. strengthened the dollar. Palladium traded near the highest price since 2001 and silver dropped.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Permits m/m, Ivey PMI.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS

·        IDBI Bank to raise Rs. 4,000 crore in FY15

IDBI Bank at its meeting held today, approved the proposal for mobilization in one or more tranches of Rs. 4000 crore.

·        Hindalco slips as a foreign brokerage retains underweight rating

Hindalco Industries fell 1.24% on reports that a foreign brokerage maintained its underweight rating on the stock.

                                                                                                        

·        Jain Irrigation up 5%

Jain Irrigation has been issued a letter of intent of project by Himachal Pradesh government involving an outlay of Rs 97.52 crore.

·        Bharti Airtel rises over 2%; FIIs can invest upto 74% in co

Shares of Bharti Airtel gained more than 2 percent after the Reserve Bank of India allowed foreign institutional investors (FIIs)/registered foreign portfolios investors (RFPIs) to invest up to 74 percent of the paid up capital of company under the portfolio investment scheme.

CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE 04 JULY 2014

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

UPL LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

CESC FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

ALLAHABAD BANK FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

JAIN IRRIGATION FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

UNITED SPIRITS FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG

VOLTAS LTD FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG

PNB FUTURES SELL CALL COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES:

UPL LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

CESC FUTURES BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG (BOOKED AT 7727)

OPTION:

UPL LTD 350 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADY:

POLARIS BUY CALL 3 TG

LIBERTY SHOES BUY CALL 3 TG

FINOLEX CABLES BUY CALL 3 TG (BOOKED AT 209.40)

CESC BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

FINOLEX CABLES BUY CALL 1 TG (BOOKED AT 209.40)

LIBERTY SHOES BUY CALL BOOKED AT 295.20

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end tad lower amid consolidation.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with marginal losses, amid a lacklustre trading session, as investors booked profits after the sharp rally yesterday which saw the Sensex and Nifty hitting fresh record highs. The losses were led by oil and gas shares.

Further, Ranbaxy Laboratories has gained 3.8%, its highest level since November 2012 after after USFDA granted approval to Ranbaxy's subsidiary Ohm Laboratories to manufacture and sell generic Diovan in the US. Sesa Sterlite closed 2% higher after the company was permitted to resume production in the Goa state in September.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7755 and above this 7785. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7675 and next support will be 7620.

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