COMMODITY MARKET TREND-14 FEB. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: -Copper prices fell Thursday amid weaker U.S. economic data and as some investors chose to lock in gains made on a recent rally.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6160
SUP2:6040
RESIST1:6368
RESIST2:6470
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude headed for a fifth weekly gain, the longest rally in a year, as a U.S. winter storm bolstered energy demand in the world’s biggest oil consumer. Natural gas futures are heading for the first weekly gain since Jan. 24 in New York as frigid weather spurs demand for heating fuel, sending inventories to a 10-year seasonal low.
CS GOLD (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:29100
SUP2:28900
RESIST1:29480
RESIST2:29980
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for the biggest weekly advance since October as U.S. economic data that trailed estimates increased haven demand, with holdings in the biggest exchange-traded product expanding to a two-month high. Silver was set for the longest rally since March 2008.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:44800
SUP2:44150   
RESIST1:45950
RESIST2:46550
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: CPI y/y,  Manufacturing Sales m/m, Import Prices m/m, Capacity Utilization Rate, Industrial Production m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:442
SUP2:440
RESIST1:449
RESIST2:453
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK-14 FEB 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK opened higher tracking mixed global cues, after breaking its three-day winning streak yesterday. Telecom companies will remain in focus. Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd announced that the US FDA has granted its subsidiary final approval for its Abbreviated New Drug Application to market a generic version of Temodar, Temozolomide Capsules, 5 mg, 20 mg, 100 mg, 140 mg, 180 mg and 250 mg

FURTHER, Indian Oil Corporation Ltd has posted a net loss of Rs. 9614.50 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 as compared to net profit of Rs. 33319.60 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2012. Bharti Airtel acquired 115 MHz of airwaves in 15 circles in the 1800 MHz band and three circles in the 900 MHz bands for a total of Rs185.3bn.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs.399cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers of Rs. 292cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

Local stock market loses momentum on job figures news

The local share market lost all its early momentum after some much weaker-than-expected employment figures for January were released by the Bureau of Statistics. 

The data revealed the unemployment rate had jumped from 5.8 per cent to a 10-year-high of 6 per cent, and that 3,700 jobs were lost last month.

On average, economists had expected the jobless rate to remain steady and 15,000 jobs to have been created.

The dollar immediately tumbled and investor sentiment soured.

The All Ordinaries Index has closed down one point to hit 5,319 and the ASX 200 has lost two points to finish at 5,308.

There have been a number of corporate profit results published today.

Telstra has posted a 9 per cent rise in its half-year profit to $1.7 billion.

Telstra says it experienced solid growth in its mobile customer base over the six months to the end of December.

The company's shares have gained four cents to reach $5.15.

The country's primary share market operator, the Australian Securities Exchange has announced an 11 per cent rise in its half-year profit.

ASX has made $189.6 million for the six months to the end of December.

Its shares have gained 1.6 per cent.

The toll road operator, Transurban Group has seen its profit inch up to $81 million during the six months to the end of last year.

That is up just 0.1 per cent compared to its profit for the same period the year before. It has added one cent to its share price today to hit $6.83.

The online travel booking firm, Webjet, has announced a 60 per cent surge in its half-year profit.

The company's made $9.17 million in the six months to the end of December. Its shares have soared more than 26 per cent to $3.16.

Rio Tinto is expected to announce its full-year profit later today - its shares have slipped 0.4 per cent today.

BHP Billiton has gained a third of a per cent.

Commonwealth Bank shares have fallen more than 0.5 per cent, NAB has given up 0.4 per cent, while Westpac closed a fifth of a per cent lower but ANZ has eked out a one cent gain to reach $30.99.

The Australian dollar has not recovered from its 1 per cent slide after the job figures came out. At 5om (AEDT) it was buying 89.3 US cents.

On the cross-rates, it was worth 65.65 euro cents, 53.77 British pence, 91.2 Japanese yen and $1.07 in New Zealand.

In commodities, West Texas Crude oil is worth $US100.36 a barrel, the price of a barrel Tapis has eased to $US114.14 and spot gold has fallen to $US1,290 an ounce.

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शुरुआती कारोबार में सेंसेक्स 38 अंक सुधरा

मुंबई : खुदरा मुद्रास्फीति जनवरी में घटकर 2 साल के निचले स्तर पर आने के बीच कोषों एवं निवेशकों की सतत लिवाली से बंबई शेयर बाजार का सेंसेक्स 38 अंक से अधिक की तेजी के साथ खुला।

तीस शेयरों वाला सेंसेक्स 38.38 अंक उपर 20,486.87 अंक पर खुला। इस दौरान, एफएमसीजी, बैंकिंग, आटो और कैपिटल गुड्स शेयरों में तेजी दर्ज की गई। इसी तरह, नेशनल स्टाक एक्सचेंज का निफ्टी भी 5.90 अंक उपर 6,089.90 अंक पर खुला। ब्रोकरों ने कहा कि लगातार दूसरे महीने खुदरा मुद्रास्फीति में गिरावट आने से बाजार की धारणा सकारात्मक हुई।

SHARE MARKET NEWS TODAYS

टाटा मोटर्स (Tata Motors) के शेयर चढ़े जगुआर लैंड रोवर (JLR) के शानदार नतीजों की वजह से शेयर बाजार में टाटा मोटर्स (Tata Motors) के शेयर भाव में मजबूती का रुख है। एसबीआई (SBI) खरीदें, ल्युपिन (Lupin) बेचें : विवेक नेगी (Vivek Negi) फिनेथिक वेल्थ सर्विसेस के निदेशक, रिसर्च ऐंड ट्रेनिंग विवेक नेगी (Vivek Negi) ने आज गुरुवार को छोटी अवधि के लिए एसबीआई (SBI)  में खरीदारी और ल्युपिन (Lupin) में बिकवाली की सलाह दी है।   दिसंबर 2013 में आईआईपी (IIP) की दर घट कर -0.6% दिसंबर 2013 में भारत का औद्योगिक उत्पादन (आईआईपी यानी इंडेक्स ऑफ इंडस्ट्रियल प्रोडक्शन) की दर घट कर -0.6% रही है।     जनवरी 2014 में खुदरा महँगाई दर घट कर 8.79% सरकार ने खुदरा मूल्य सूचकांक पर आधारित महँगाई दर के जनवरी महीने के आँकड़े पेश किये हैं।   कमजोरी के बाद सँभलेगा जीरा (Jeera) रेलिगेयर कमोडिटीज (Religare Commodities) का अनुमान है कि आज सोयाबीन (Soybean) की शुरुआत कमजोरी के साथ होगी।   रियल्टी (Realty) क्षेत्र ने दी शुरुआती कारोबार में बढ़त भारतीय शेयर बाजार के प्रमुख सूचकांकों में आज सुबह बढ़त का रुख है।

कोल इंडिया (Coal India) का मुनाफा घट कर 3,894 करोड़ रुपये अक्टूबर-दिसंबर 2013 तिमाही में कोल इंडिया (Coal India) का कंसोलिडेटेड मुनाफा 11% घटा है।    सिप्ला (Cipla) का मुनाफा घटा, शेयर लुढ़के कारोबारी साल 2013-14 की तीसरी तिमाही में सिप्ला (Cipla) का कंसोलिडेटेड मुनाफा घट कर 284 करोड़ रुपये हो गया है।   सोना (Gold), चाँदी (Silver) खरीदें : रेलिगेयर (Religare) रेलिगेयर कमोडिटीज (Religare Commodities) ने आज सोना (Gold) में खरीदारी की सलाह दी है। निफ्टी (Nifty) को 6050 पर मजबूत समर्थन : अरविंद पृथी (Arvind Pruthi) भारतीय शेयर बाजार अभी एक सीमित दायरे में नजर आ रहा है और आज निफ्टी (Nifty) का दायरा 6050-6090 का रह सकता है। डिविस लैब (Divis Lab), डाबर इंडिया (Dabur India) खरीदें : आईसीआईसीआई सिक्योरिटीज आईसीआईसीआई सिक्योरिटीज ने आज के एकदिनी कारोबार में डिविस लेबोरेटरीज (Divis Laboratories) और डाबर इंडिया (Dabur India) में खरीदारी, जबकि सन टीवी (Sun TV) में बिकवाली की सलाह दी है।

COMMODITY MARKET TREND-13 FEB. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures advanced on Wednesday, after upbeat Chinese trade data eased fears over a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6160
SUP2:6040
RESIST1:6368
RESIST2:6470
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude slid amid speculation that its advance to the highest price in almost four months was excessive. Natural gas futures retreated in New York on speculation that a winter storm in the East this week will give way to milder weather that will reduce demand for the heating fuel.
CS GOLD (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:28890
SUP2:28720
RESIST1:29260
RESIST2:29480
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held near the highest level in three months as investors weighed prospects for further cuts to U.S. stimulus and signs of waning physical demand. Silver headed for the longest run of advances since 2008.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:44150
SUP2:43400   
RESIST1:45750
RESIST2:45950
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Business Inventories m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:444
SUP2:441
RESIST1:449
RESIST2:453
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK-13 FEB 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK continued their upward trend, opening with modest gains. The index of industrial production for December 2013 came in at a negative 0.6 percent, while consumer price inflation stood for January at 8.79 percent, a two-year low, versus 9.87 percent in the previous month.

FURTHER, Coal India Ltd has 11.4 per cent drop in consolidated net profit at Rs 3,894 crore for the financial year's third quarter (October-December) versus Rs 4,395 crore in the corresponding period last year. Cipla  consolidated revenues were up 22 per cent year-on-year to Rs 2,581 crore in the financial year’s third quarter, on the back of a strong exports performance, higher costs dented profitability, leading to a 16.5 per cent fall in net profit to Rs 284 crore.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs.211cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers of Rs. 261cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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Board Meatings and Corporate News

Company Meeting Date Purpose CoventrySprn 13/02/2013 Quarterly Results DharmsiMorji 13/02/2013 Quarterly Results Madras Fert. 13/02/2013 Quarterly Results LaurelOrgani 13/02/2013 Quarterly Results Mewar Lease 13/02/2013 Quarterly Results Daudayal Fin 13/02/2013 Quarterly Results IFSL Ltd 13/02/2013 Quarterly Results

Corporate News Date and Time Headlines 12/02/2014-18:24 BS - Financial Results & Limited Review for Dec 31, 2013 12/02/2014-18:23 Cigniti Technologies - Board Meeting on Feb 14, 2014 12/02/2014-18:23 Sarvamangal Merc - Financial Results & Limited Review for Dec 31, 2013 12/02/2014-18:23 Weizmann - Financial Results & Limited Review for Dec 31, 2013 12/02/2014-18:22 Beryl Securities - Adjournment of Board Meeting 12/02/2014-18:22 PH Trading - Financial Results for Dec 31, 2013 12/02/2014-18:22 Orient Beverages - Financial Results & Limited Review for Dec 31, 2013

INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK-12 FEB 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK started the trading session on a higher note amid a rally in global markets, following the US Federal Reserve policy stance to continue trimming its monetary stimulus measures.

FURTHER, Tata Steel consolidated net sales of Rs 36,410 crore in the December quarter, up 14 per cent from the corresponding period last year, led by 5.6 per cent growth in deliveries. GMR Infrastructure Ltd has posted a net loss after tax and Minority Interest of Rs. (4410.90) mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 as compared to net loss of Rs. (2174.50) mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2012.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs.165cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of Rs. 242cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

COMMODITY MARKET TREND-12 FEB. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper led gains in industrial metals after China’s trade surplus widened more than estimated in January and as imports of the commodity used in wiring rose.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:44150
SUP2:43400   
RESIST1:45750
RESIST2:45950
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude rose for the sixth time in seven days after an industry report showed distillate stockpiles shrank last week in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Natural gas rose for a second day amid speculation that U.S. inventories of the heating fuel declined more than the seasonal average last week as cold weather stoked demand.
CS GOLD (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:28890
SUP2:28720
RESIST1:29260
RESIST2:29480
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated from the highest level since November as a five-day advance damped physical demand and U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen pledged to continue with a gradual tapering of stimulus.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6200
SUP2:6160
RESIST1:6368
RESIST2:6467
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, BOE Inflation Report, ECB President Draghi Speaks, Crude Oil Inventories, 10-y Bond Auction.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:440
SUP2:436
RESIST1:447
RESIST2:449
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

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well known trading tips for Foreign Exchange traders.

1.                                      An old cliché but one which holds great truth–ALWAYS trade in the direction of the trend. In the Forex markets we see great trends in currency pairs that last for a long time (cycles). Therefore, it pays to identify the dominant trend of currency pairs. Going against the trendwill only cost you a lot of money and destabilise you emotionally.

2.                                            Plan your tr ade, trade your plan. Trade plans can be made well in advance in the Forex market and help eliminate emotional trading. The more mechanical you become in entering and exiting trades, the more profitable and consistent you will become in the long run.

3.                                              Before initiating any trade, always know your risk and truly accept this risk. The risk is defined as the number of pips from your entry to your stop loss.

4.                                    Always, use a stop loss after initiating a trade. Placing a stop loss does not essentially mean that you are expecting to experience a losing trade but will help minimize losses against unforeseen market circumstances caused by unforeseen events such as geopolitical events  etc.

5.                                           After initiating a trade, a trader must have clear trade management guidelines for that trade. Trade management means that the trader knows in advance when and where he or she will move the stop loss and when to scale out of part of the trade and eventually where to take profits.

6.                                           Whilst trading Forex, it is imperative for a trader to know the characteristics of the currency pairs he or she likes to trade. A way of achieving this is by looking at the past behaviour of the currency pairs in order to ascertain key characteristics such as:
a) how well does the pairtrend?
b)which economic events influencethe pair?
c) what is the Average Daily Range ofthe pair? etc.

7.                                                Always keep in mind that the Forex market presents the trader with a constant stream of opportunities, therefore, if the trader experiences more than 23 consecutive losses,stopping to trade for a period of time is advisable. This will give the trader time to refocus and examine mistakes and prepare psychologically to re enter the market again.

8.                                             Trade to profit and not just to trade. Many traders think that because they might sit in front of a trade station for a period of time it is logical that they should be trading constantly. A trader should only initiate trades once all the odds are stacked in his favour and he has an edge. Then and only then should trading be initiated. Patience and discipline is an integral part of successful and consistent trading and are traits that a trader must endeavour to possess.

9.                                       All successful traders have a trading diary that contains all the trades good or bad they have ever initiated. This gives traders the opportunity to constantly evaluate their performance and rectify any identified mistakes.

10.                                        All successful traders are constantly learning and evolving. Just when you think you know it all about trading, a new curveball gets thrown your way. Furthermore, as time passes by, new methods of making money are developed and need to be learned about.

COMMODITY MARKET TREND-11 FEB. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper dipped on Monday, following a weekly rise that was the biggest so far this year last week, as worries about demand in top consumer China offset tightness in supply.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:44150
SUP2:43400   
RESIST1:45750
RESIST2:45950
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the highest price in six weeks amid speculation that U.S. distillate stockpiles shrank as cold weather boosted demand for heating fuels.
CS GOLD (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:28890
SUP2:28720
RESIST1:29260
RESIST2:29480
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold jumped to the highest level since November as investors assessed further cuts to U.S. monetary stimulus and Chinese buyers resumed purchases to extend last year’s record consumption. Silver was set for the longest rally since August.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6200
SUP2:6160
RESIST1:6368
RESIST2:6467
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: NAB Business Confidence, NFIB Small Business Index, FOMC Member Plosser Speaks, Fed Chair Yellen Testifies, JOLTS Job Openings, Wholesale Inventories m/m.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:442
SUP2:440
RESIST1:449
RESIST2:452
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

Capital Vs. Money Markets

Money markets are used for a short-term basis, usually for assets up to one year. Conversely, capital markets are used for long-term assets, which are any asset with maturity greater than one year. Capital markets include the equity (stock) market and debt (bond) market. Together the money and capital markets comprise a large portion of the financial market and are often used together to manage liquidity and risks for companies, governments and individuals.

Capital Markets

Capital markets are perhaps the most widely followed markets. Both the stock and bond markets are closely followed and their daily movements are analyzed as proxies for the general economic condition of the world markets. As a result, the institutions operating in capital markets - stock exchanges, commercial banks and all types of corporations, including nonbank institutions such as insurance companies and mortgage banks - are carefully scrutinized.

Money Market

The money market is often accessed alongside the capital markets. While investors are willing to take on more risk and have patience to invest in capital markets, money markets are a good place to "park" funds that are needed in a shorter time period - usually one year or less. The financial instruments used in capital markets include stocks and bonds, but the instruments used in the money markets include deposits, collateral loans, acceptances and bills of exchange. Institutions operating in money markets are central banks, commercial banks and acceptance houses, among others. 

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Sensex opens in green; Sun Pharma, Tata Steel, BHEL gain

MUMBAI: The S&P BSE Sensex opened on a positive note led by gains in auto, capital goods and technology sectors mirroring gains in Asian markets. However, the lack of buying support from the foreign institutional investors is likely to keep the upside cap for the benchmarks.

"The focus of markets will be on what today's Congressional testimony by Fed Chair Janet Yellen reveals. Afer Bernanke stepped down, this will be the first time we get to hear Yellen.


The outlook is a flat start. The market may remain in a range and look towards global cues for direction," said IIFL report.

At 09:20 a.m.; the 30-share index was at 20,390.25, up 55.98 points or 0.28 per cent. It touched a high of 20,443.35 and a low of 20,389.77 in trade today.

The Nifty was at 6,066.80, up 13.35 points or 0.22 per cent. It touched a high of 6,080.05 and a low of 6,064.70 in trade today.

"Monday's entire price action was within the range of Friday's price action. Due to this there is no major change in the daily as well as the hourly chart. Hence, we reiterate our view that 6,120 - 6,150 levels would act as strong supply zone for the index. On the downside, index may find support at 6,030 - 5,965 levels. Any closing below this level would open up possibilities of further downside move towards 5,900 - 5,850 levels," said Angel Broking note.

The S&P BSE Midcap Index was up 0.26 per cent and the S&P BSE Smallcap Index gained 0.41 per cent.

Among the sectoral indices, the S&P BSE Auto Index surged 1.30 per cent, the S&P BSE Capital Goods Index was 0.62 per cent higher and the S&P BSE IT Index gained 0.52 per cent.

!!!  HAPPY READING  !!!

 

INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK-10 FEB 2014

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended marginally lower amidst a volatile trading session and fluctuating levels, as sales by foreign institutional investors in index heavyweights capped upside gains. Tata Motors announced a 195% increase in third-quarter net profit which was boosted by strong demand for its luxury Jaguar Land Rover vehicles. Consolidated net profit for the October-December quarter was 48.05 billion rupees, compared to 16.3 billion rupees a year ago.

Further, Indraprastha Gas Ltd (IGL) has posted a net profit after tax of Rs. 894.60 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 as compared to Rs. 863.20 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2012. Total Income has increased from Rs. 8720.40 million. Shares of Ceat Ltd were up by 6 percent after reported its net profit stood at Rs. 60.85 crore as against Rs. 16.93 crore in the December 2013 quarter.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 6100 and above this 6170. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 6030 and next support will be 5965.


News to watch:

·         Watch out for the quarterly earnings of Tata Steel & Dr. Reddy’s Lab on 11th Feb.
·         Watch out for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) & Indian Industrial Production (IIP) on 12th Feb.
·         Watch out for the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) on 14th Feb.


 Happy Reading!!!

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COMMODITY MARKET TREND-10 FEB. 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper rose for a second day, heading for a weekly advance, as stockpiles declined and biggest-user China returned from Lunar New Year holidays.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:44150
SUP2:43400   
RESIST1:45750
RESIST2:45950
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near $100 a barrel as a decline in U.S. unemployment bolstered the outlook for fuel demand in the country, the world’s biggest oil consumer.
CS GOLD (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:28600
SUP2:28260
RESIST1:29100
RESIST2:29480
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held gains after posting the biggest weekly advance in more than a month as U.S. jobs data missed estimates and Chinese buyers returned after the Lunar New Year break. Silver was set to snap the longest rally this year.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6100
SUP2:6040
RESIST1:6272
RESIST2:6348
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: French Industrial Production m/m, Italian Industrial Production m/m.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:444
SUP2:440
RESIST1:449
RESIST2:452
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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MARKETS TURN, FINANCIAL & FMCG SHARES DRAG

Benchmark indices have erased early gains and have turned flat after making a positive opening. Profit booking in finacials and FMCG shares have capped the upside.

By 10:10, the Sensex was higher by 12 points at 20,388 mark and the Nifty gained by 7 points at 6,070 levels.

Adds Kunal Bothra, Technical Analyst at LKP Securities, “We are heading into a crucial 6080 resistance on Nifty spot levels. I think, till the time Nifty does not break this band of 6080-6100 and close above that, it is advisable to be cautious on the short term. Being extremely stock specific could be a decent strategy looking at the volatility in the short term.”

On the global front, Japan's Nikkei share average rose to a one-week high on Monday morning, moving further away from a four-month low hit last week as gains on Wall Street and a softer yen underpinned sentiment.

Analysts said that foreign investors including macro funds are cautiously stepping back to buy recently-battered Japanese stocks as they keep an eye on key events this week. New Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen delivers her first testimony to the House on Tuesday and the senate on Thursday.

Back home, investors will closely watch key data including inflation and industrial production for hints on improvement in the economy.

Tata Motors, NMDC, JP Associates, Indraprastha Gas, India Cements, Essar Oil, BGR Energy and Apollo Hospitals will unveil their third quarter earnings today. 

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 267.26 crore on Friday, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges.

On the sectoral front, BSE Realty index has surged by over 2% followed by counters like Metal and Healthcare, both gaining by nearly 1% each. Apart from Banks, Power and FMCG, all the major BSE sectoral indices are trading in positive zone.

The main gainers on the Sensex at this hour include Tata Steel, Sesa Sterlite, Dr Reddy’s Labs, Sun Pharma, BHEL, Wipro, Cipla, Hindalco and Tata Motors.

DLF has gained by nearly 5% after the company announced the sale of its luxury hospitality chain, Aman Resorts, back to the company's founder, Adrian Zecha, for $358 million. This is a higher valuation than DLF's earlier agreement with Zecha, where it had received a valuation of $300 million, in December 2012.

On the losing side, Bharti Airtel, HUL, NTPC, HDFC Bank and Bajaj Auto have declined between 0.9-1.4%.

Among other shares, Sterling Holiday Resorts (India) is trading higher by 3% at Rs 96 after Thomas Cook (India) made an open offer for buying up to 26% in the company for Rs 230 crore.

The broader markets are outperforming the benchmark indices- BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices are up between 0.3-0.5%.

The market breadth in BSE remains positive with 895 shares advancing and 578 shares declining.

the legendary Financial Prophet in the Early Twenties

To most of the technical analysts and financial traders, the name, William Delbert Gann, is well-known. Gann was one of the greatest traders in the early twenty centuries, who has extremely arcane trading analysis techniques and methods that based on ancient mathematics and geometry. Yet, as it was never unveiled explicitly, the theory of Gann is admired by most, but grasped by few. One of his important techniques, the Gann Square of 9, was said to be inspired from the structure of Egyptian and Indian temples. Unfortunately, the details of his theory are often kept in veil. Latecomers are very difficult to grasp the essence of his techniques. To the surprise of the reporter, Gann stroked a return of 1000% on his trading capital. He had made a total of 286 trades in 25 market days, 264 times won and 22 times lost. The profit rate was up to 92.3%. During that month, the average interval between trades was only 20 minutes. On one trading day, he made totally 16 trades, 8 out of them are the reversal points of the intra-day market fluctuation.

According to Gann's friend William Gilley, "One of the most astonishing calculations made by Mr. Gann was during last summer [1909] when he predicted that September Wheat would sell at $1.20. This meant that it must touch that figure before the end of the month of September. At twelve o'clock, Chicago time, on September 30th (the last day) the option was selling below $1.08, and it looked as though his prediction would not be fulfilled. Mr. Gann said, 'If it does not touch $1.20 by the close of the market it will prove that there is something wrong with my whole method of calculation. I do not care what the price is now, it must go there.' It is common history that September Wheat surprised the whole country by selling at $1.20 and no higher in the very last hour of trading, closing at that figure." Based on number he predicted elections date; world war and so on.

Gann Theory is only theory, which predicts time and price. We try to apply this theory for Indian market in a very very simplified manner.

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