Tuesday 15 April 2014

COMMODITY MARKET TRENDS 16 April 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 
Industrial metals fell on Tuesday as investors sold risky assets on worries about demand in top consumer China and on concern about tensions in Ukraine.

ENERGY WRAP: 
Brent crude fell for the first time in three days as Chinese data showing a reduced pace of economic growth countered concern that the crisis in Ukraine is escalating. West Texas Intermediate was steady.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 
 Gold retreated for a second day, extending the biggest drop in three weeks, on prospects for further cuts to the Federal Reserve’s stimulus program as the U.S economy shows signs of recovery. Silver fell.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 
FOMC Member Plosser Speaks, Treasury Currency Report, CPI q/q, FOMC Member Kocherlakota Speaks, GDP q/y, Industrial Production y/y, Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y, NBS Press Conference, Retail Sales y/y, BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks, Claimant Count Change, Unemployment Rate, FOMC Member Stein Speaks, Building Permits, Housing Starts, Capacity Utilization Rate, Industrial Production m/m, BOC Monetary Policy Report, BOC Rate Statement, Overnight Rate, Crude Oil Inventories, BOC Press Conference, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks, FOMC Member Fisher Speaks, Beige Book.

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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK-16 April 2014


INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher tracking firm Asian cues after better-than-expected first quarter growth from China. Crompton Greaves may continue to witness trading activity on reports that Hitachi is likely to pick up promoter stake in the company.


FURTHER, Reliance Industries will be in focus after the Supreme Court resumes hearing in the KG-D6 gas pricing case. Jubilant Foodworks will be in action after FIIs can now acquire 55% of the equity against 49% earlier.


Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs.21cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers of Rs. 278cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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TOP FIVE BUZZING STOCKS:


ü  AUROBINDO PHARMA
TREND: BULLISH
SUPPORT: 544
RESISTANCE: 577


ü  ABAN OFFSHORE
TREND: BEARISH
SUPPORT: 494
RESISTANCE: 558


ü  JUST DIAL
TREND: BEARISH
SUPPORT: 1131
RESISTANCE: 1320


ü  TATA COMM
TREND: BULLISH
SUPPORT: 290
RESISTANCE: 319


ü  DLF
TREND: BEARISH
SUPPORT: 162
RESISTANCE: 177

INDIAN BENCHMARKS end lower as rate cut hopes fade.


INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended lower, weighed down by financial shares, as the spike in whole-sale-price inflation to 3-month highs in March could lead to a delay in policy rate cuts by the central bank in the near to medium term. The wholesale price index-based inflation rose to a three-month high of 5.70% in March from a nine-month low of 4.68% in February.

Further, Shares of  United Spirits  hit record high up 15 percent on report that liquor company Diageo has announced to launch tender offer to acquire 26 percent further in United Spirits. Gruh Finance rose 7.36% after the company's net profit rose 16.71% to Rs 73.60 crore on 31% growth in total income to Rs 254.42 crore in Q4 March 2014 over Q4 March 2013.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 6830 and above this 6870. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 6700 and next support will be 6670.

CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE:



STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:
AUROBINDO PHRAMA FUTURES BUY CALL 3TG
CROMPTON GRAVES FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG
INDUSIND BANK FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG
TCS FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG
UPL LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG
ZEE LTD FUTURES SELL CALL COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES:
MRF FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG
MRF FUTURES 2ND BUY CALL 2 TG (BOOKED AT 23337)

NIFTY FUTURES:
BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL COST EXIT

OPTION:
DLF 180 PUT BUY CALL 3 TG
TCS 2200 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG
CROMPTON GREAVES 175 CALL BUY CALL 1 TG
ADANIENT 430 PUT BUY CALL 1 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADY:
ABAN OFFSHORE SELL CALL 3 TG (BOOKED AT 517.70)
JUST DIAL SELL CALL 3TG
DEN NETWORKS SELL CALL 2 TG

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:
DLF SELL CALL 1 TG
JUST DIAL SELL CALL COST EXIT
M&M FINANCIAL SELL CALL SL TRIGGERED