COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 21 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper held near its lowest in three weeks on Monday, hemmed in by nagging worries over China's property sector and a big Chinese stock build that highlighted an expected market surplus in the second half.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent swung between gains and losses amid speculation that the downing of a Malaysian Air jet will have no impact on supplies from Russia, the world’s largest energy exporter. West Texas Intermediate was steady in New York. Natural gas futures in the U.S. dropped for a third day to the lowest level in almost eight months as inventories rebounded at the quickest rate since 2001.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded little changed after the first weekly loss in seven as investors weighed the outlook for higher U.S. borrowing costs against demand for a haven amid unrest in Ukraine and Gaza. Palladium was near a 13-year high.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: German PPI m/m.

INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY-21 JULY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK have opened on a firm note tracking positive global cues. Moreover, the advancement of monsoon rains has boosted the market sentiments.

FURTHER, Reliance Industries Ltd has posted a net profit/(loss) after taxes, minority interest and share in profit/(loss) of associates of Rs. 59570 mn for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 as compared to Rs. 52370 million for the quarter ended June 30,2013. Reliance Power has posted a growth of 1.8% in its first quarter (April-June) with a consolidated net profit at Rs 244.3 crore as against Rs 240 crore in the year-ago period.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 283cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY-18 JULY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK opened lower owing to weak global cues after investors booked profit in Financials and Auto shares.

FURTHER, TCS delivered results which were better than expected. TCS reported net income of Rs 5,058 crore for this financial year’s first quarter, up 26.9 per cent from Rs 5,297 crore in the same quarter last year. SBI could seek attention on reports that it may raise about Rs 20,000 crore by selling shares over two years to fund capital requirements and expansion plans.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 1316cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 18 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures fell to a two-week low, as jitters over a possible bond default in China's construction sector weighed.

                                                                     

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose the most in a month after a Malaysian Airways jet was shot down in Ukraine. Prices also climbed as U.S. crude supplies fell as refiners boosted processing to the highest level since 2005.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated after the biggest advance in a month as investors weighed the outlook for U.S. monetary policy against increased geopolitical tensions around the world. Palladium dropped from a 13-year high.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Core CPI m/m, Wholesale Sales m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations, CB Leading Index m/m.

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CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE:

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

CROMPTON GREAVES FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

IRB INFRA FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

HAVELLS INDIA FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

BAJAJ AUTO FUTURES SELL CALL 1 TG

ADANIPORT FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG (BOOKED AT 289.20)

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES:

IRB INFRA FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

CROMPTON GREAVES FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

GRASIM FUTURES BUY CALL COST EXIT

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL SL TRIGGERED

OPTION:

IRB INFRA 260 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

HINDALCO 180 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

TATA STEEL 540 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

CROMPTON GREAVES 200 CALL BUY CALL 2 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:

CROMPTON GREAVES BUY CALL 3 TG

BAJAJ AUTO SELL CALL 2 TG (BOOKED AT 2071)

TCS SELL CALL 1 TG

BHARAT FORGE BUY CALL COST EXIT

ADANIPORT BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 17 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Most industrial metals fell as copper dropped to a two-week low after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecast commodities will drop over the next five years on increasing supplies.

                                                                     

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for a second day after U.S. crude stockpiles fell as refiners in the world’s biggest oil consumer boosted processing to the highest level since 2005. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held above a three-week low amid signs of increased demand in China and India, the world’s two largest consumers. Palladium futures climbed to the highest level since 2001.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Permits, Unemployment Claims, Housing Starts, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Natural Gas Storage.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY-17 JULY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK started on a flat note with a positive bias with the IT heavyweights leading the opening gains. June trade deficit was at an 11-month high of $11.76 bn as compared to $11.23 bn in the previous month.

FURTHER, Crompton Greaves has surged 12% in early morning deals after the company’s board proposed to demerge its consumer products business unit into a separate listed company. IDFC has agreed to prune foreign shareholding limit by 1% to 50.50%, as part of plans to progressively pare foreign investor holding to 49% to run banking services.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 48cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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CAPITALSTARS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

IRB INFRA FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

ZEE LTD FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

HINDALCO FUTURES BUY CALL 1 TG

CENTURY TEXTILE FUTURES BUY CALL BOOKE AT 574.70

TATA MOTOR DVR SELL CALL COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES:

IDFC FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

BHARAT FORGE FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

OPTION:

IDFC 150 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

FEDERAL BANK 120 CALL BUY CALL 2 TG

TATA STEEL 540 CALL BUY CALL 2 TG

HINDALCO 170 CALL BUY CALL 1 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

IDFC 150 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

DLF 210 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:

KOLTE PATIL BUY CALL 3 TG

FINOLEX CABLES BUY CALL 2 TG

BHARAT FORGE BUY CALL 2 TG

PFC SELL CALL 1 TG

CEAT LTD BUY CALL 1 TG

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

IDFC BUY CALL 2 TG

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 16 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:

Zinc climbed to trade near a 35-month high amid shrinking stockpiles after economic growth expanded more than estimated in China, the world’s biggest consumer of base metals.

ENERGY WRAP:

West Texas Intermediate rebounded from the lowest price since May as China’s economic growth exceeded forecasts and crude stockpiles shrank in the U.S., signaling increased demand from the world’s two biggest oil consumers. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:

Gold held below $1,300 an ounce as the outlook for higher borrowing costs in the U.S. strengthened the dollar and damped demand for an alternative investment. Silver rebounded after two days of losses.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:

CPI q/q, GDP q/y, Industrial Production y/y, Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y, NBS Press Conference, Retail Sales y/y, Average Earnings Index 3m/y, Claimant Count Change, Unemployment Rate, Manufacturing Sales m/m, PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, TIC Long-Term Purchases, Capacity Utilization Rate, Industrial Production m/m, BOC Monetary Policy Report, BOC Rate Statement, Overnight Rate, Fed Chair Yellen Testifies, NAHB Housing Market Index, Crude Oil Inventories, BOC Press Conference, FOMC Member Fisher Speaks, Beige Book.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY-16 JULY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK has opened on a firm note tracking firm global cues. In addition, easier norms on bond sales for infrastructure and affordable housing notified by the RBI boosted the sentiments of the market participants.

FURTHER, DLF Ltd is planning to rise up to Rs 3,500 crore through issue of securities backed by IT-SEZ. Sun Pharmaceutical Industries rose 1.06% after the company announced acquisition of Pharmalucence Inc., by one of its subsidiaries.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 471cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 15 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper futures ended lower on Monday as steep losses in gold and coming Chinese economic data unnerved some traders. Rising stocks deter investors from betting copper higher.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in two months before inventory data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London. Twelve weeks of above-average gains in U.S. natural gas supply are easing concern over winter fuel shortages and spurring speculators to cut their bets on rising prices.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold held above a one-month low on speculation the biggest decline this year may spur demand as holdings in the largest exchange-traded product backed by the metal expanded to the highest level since April.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y, New Loans, M2 Money Supply y/y, Monetary Policy Statement, BOJ Press Conference, CPI y/y, German ZEW Economic Sentiment, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Empire State Manufacturing Index, Import Prices m/m, Fed Chair Yellen Testifies, Business Inventories m/m.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY-15 JULY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK have opened on a firm note tracking strong global cues. In addition, easing of WPI & CPI inflation data and advancement of monsoons boosted the sentiments of the market participants.  The CPI data stood at 7.31% in June as against 8.28% on month-on-month.

FURTHER, United Spirits has inked a pact to buy JP Impex Incorp's Karnataka-based assets including plant and machinery for Rs 11.5 crore, enhancing its liquor manufacturing capacity in the state. Tata Sponge Iron has surged 8% after reporting an over two-fold jump in standalone net profit at Rs 44 crore for the first quarter ended June 30, 2014.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 331cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 14 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper was marking time on Monday following four weeks of gains driven by tightening supply, with summer holidays in the northern hemisphere muting trade.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent crude traded near the lowest price in three months as Libya’s oil output continued to increase, easing the threat of supply disruptions from the Middle East. West Texas Intermediate was steady in New York.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold dropped from a four-month high as investors weighed signs that the rally may be excessive after six weeks of gains and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. restated a forecast for lower prices. Silver, platinum and palladium fell.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Industrial Production m/m, ECB President Draghi Speaks.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET STRATEGY-14 JULY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a flat note tracking mixed global cues. In addition, WPI and CPI numbers which are due to be released today will be keenly watched by the market participants.

FURTHER, Polaris Financial Technology is likely to remain in focus after Orbitech Limited sold 6,16,400 shares of  Polaris at Rs 226.93. Tata Steel fell 0.78% on turning ex-dividend today, 14 July 2014, for dividend of Rs 10 per share for the year ended 31 March 2014.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 44cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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PERFORMANCE MAIL TODAY

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

UNION BANK FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

ADANIENT FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

ALLAHABAD BANK FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

RANBAXY FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

CESC FUTURES SELL CALL 1 TG

PREMIUM FUTURES:

VOLTAS LTD FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

CROMPTON GREAVES FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 3 TG

NIFTY FUTURES BUY CALL SL TRIGGERED

OPTION:

TATA STEEL 510 PUT BUY CALL 3 TG

ADANIPORT 260 PUT BUY CALL 2 TG

BHEL 240 PUT BUY CALL 1 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

BHEL 240 PUT BUY CALL 3 TG

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:

SYNDICATE BANK SELL CALL 3 TG

VOLTAS LTD SELL CALL 3 TG

RELIANCE CAPITAL SELL CALL 2 TG

ALLAHABAD BANK SELL CALL 1 TG

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

CESC LTD SELL CALL 3 TG

ORIENTAL BANK SELL CALL 2 TG

GLENMARK PHARMA SELL CALL 1 TG

POLARIS FINANCIAL SELL CALL COST EXIT

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 11 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel prices slid on Thursday as inventories rose, giving investors a reminder of an overhang of material despite an Indonesian export ban. Copper rebounded after upbeat U.S. jobs data raised the prospect of higher demand for industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate headed for a third weekly drop as Libya boosted its crude output and gasoline stockpiles expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held near a four-month high, heading for the longest run of weekly gains since March, as concern Europe’s economy remains vulnerable to shocks and rising tension in the Middle East boosted haven demand. Palladium traded near a 13-year high, set for a fourth weekly advance.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Unemployment Rate, Employment Change, Federal Budget Balance.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 10 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: China's copper imports fell 7.9 percent month-on-month in June, dropping as Chinese banks reduced lending for metals imports following a probe into an alleged metals fraud at Qingdao port.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a 10th day, the longest losing streak on record, after government data showed U.S. gasoline stockpiles expanded amid reduced demand in the world’s biggest oil user. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held near the highest level in a week as the dollar fell after the U.S. Federal Reserve released minutes of its last meeting and tension increased in the Middle East, boosting demand for a haven. Palladium advanced to a 13-year high.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ECB President Draghi Speaks, Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance, Asset Purchase Facility, Official Bank Rate, MPC Rate Statement, Unemployment Claims, Wholesale Inventories m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 09 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:

Zinc prices rose to a 35-month high as inventories dwindled amid speculation that increasing auto sales in China and the U.S. will boost metal use.

ENERGY WRAP:

West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in more than a month before inventory data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:

Gold rose as a decline in equities and the dollar spurred demand for an alternative investment amid increased holdings in the largest exchange-traded fund. Palladium headed for the longest rally in 14 years.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:

CPI y/y, PPI y/y, Crude Oil Inventories, 10-y Bond Auction, FOMC Meeting Minutes.

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