COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 17 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Most industrial metals fell as copper dropped to a two-week low after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecast commodities will drop over the next five years on increasing supplies.

                                                                     

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for a second day after U.S. crude stockpiles fell as refiners in the world’s biggest oil consumer boosted processing to the highest level since 2005. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held above a three-week low amid signs of increased demand in China and India, the world’s two largest consumers. Palladium futures climbed to the highest level since 2001.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Permits, Unemployment Claims, Housing Starts, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Natural Gas Storage.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 16 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:

Zinc climbed to trade near a 35-month high amid shrinking stockpiles after economic growth expanded more than estimated in China, the world’s biggest consumer of base metals.

ENERGY WRAP:

West Texas Intermediate rebounded from the lowest price since May as China’s economic growth exceeded forecasts and crude stockpiles shrank in the U.S., signaling increased demand from the world’s two biggest oil consumers. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:

Gold held below $1,300 an ounce as the outlook for higher borrowing costs in the U.S. strengthened the dollar and damped demand for an alternative investment. Silver rebounded after two days of losses.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:

CPI q/q, GDP q/y, Industrial Production y/y, Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y, NBS Press Conference, Retail Sales y/y, Average Earnings Index 3m/y, Claimant Count Change, Unemployment Rate, Manufacturing Sales m/m, PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, TIC Long-Term Purchases, Capacity Utilization Rate, Industrial Production m/m, BOC Monetary Policy Report, BOC Rate Statement, Overnight Rate, Fed Chair Yellen Testifies, NAHB Housing Market Index, Crude Oil Inventories, BOC Press Conference, FOMC Member Fisher Speaks, Beige Book.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 15 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper futures ended lower on Monday as steep losses in gold and coming Chinese economic data unnerved some traders. Rising stocks deter investors from betting copper higher.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in two months before inventory data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London. Twelve weeks of above-average gains in U.S. natural gas supply are easing concern over winter fuel shortages and spurring speculators to cut their bets on rising prices.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold held above a one-month low on speculation the biggest decline this year may spur demand as holdings in the largest exchange-traded product backed by the metal expanded to the highest level since April.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y, New Loans, M2 Money Supply y/y, Monetary Policy Statement, BOJ Press Conference, CPI y/y, German ZEW Economic Sentiment, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Empire State Manufacturing Index, Import Prices m/m, Fed Chair Yellen Testifies, Business Inventories m/m.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 14 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper was marking time on Monday following four weeks of gains driven by tightening supply, with summer holidays in the northern hemisphere muting trade.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent crude traded near the lowest price in three months as Libya’s oil output continued to increase, easing the threat of supply disruptions from the Middle East. West Texas Intermediate was steady in New York.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold dropped from a four-month high as investors weighed signs that the rally may be excessive after six weeks of gains and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. restated a forecast for lower prices. Silver, platinum and palladium fell.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Industrial Production m/m, ECB President Draghi Speaks.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 11 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel prices slid on Thursday as inventories rose, giving investors a reminder of an overhang of material despite an Indonesian export ban. Copper rebounded after upbeat U.S. jobs data raised the prospect of higher demand for industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate headed for a third weekly drop as Libya boosted its crude output and gasoline stockpiles expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held near a four-month high, heading for the longest run of weekly gains since March, as concern Europe’s economy remains vulnerable to shocks and rising tension in the Middle East boosted haven demand. Palladium traded near a 13-year high, set for a fourth weekly advance.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Unemployment Rate, Employment Change, Federal Budget Balance.

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Morning Mail ......

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking firm global cues. The progress of monsoons and the possibility of a growth-oriented Budget add to the sentiments.

FURTHER, United Spirits is likely to remain in focus after world's largest liquor maker Diageo Plc acquired an additional 26% in India's largest alcoholic beverages company for Rs 11,448.91 crore. Reliance Communications has initiated the process to monetise its real estate assets across the country, aiming to raise Rs 5,000 crore through this.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 407cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS end at record closing highs… Nifty closes above 7,700.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended at fresh record highs as institutional investors bought stocks across the board on hopes that the Finance Minister would announce reforms to boost the economy. Shares of Adani Group companies were ended higher by up to 10% on back of heavy volumes.

Further, Bajaj Auto auto sales stood at 3.05 lk units in June as compared to 2.95lk units YoY. The total motorcycle sales stood at 2.62lk units. L&T Construction has won new orders worth Rs 2002 cr across various business segments in June 2014.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7730 and above this 7765. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7620 and next support will be 7585.

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COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE 01 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper rose, capping the biggest quarterly advance since September, as gains in the housing market signaled higher demand in the U.S., the world’s second-largest consumer.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in more than two weeks amid speculation that escalating violence in Iraq won’t disrupt supply from OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded near the highest level since March after assets in the SPDR Gold Trust increased and investors weighed the outlook for growth and interest rates in the U.S. before manufacturing data.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, Cash Rate, RBA Rate Statement, Manufacturing PMI, Treasury Sec Lew Speaks, Final Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Total Vehicle Sales.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking firm global cues.

INDIAN BENCHMARK 

open on a positive note tracking firm global cues. Oil marketing companies are likely to remain in focus after the government hiked the price petrol by Rs Rs 1.69 per litre and Diesel by 50 paise.

FURTHER, Shriram Transport Finance Company is set to raise Rs 3,000 crore through a public issue of secured, redeemable non-convertible debentures. Union Bank of India has proposed to raise Rs 1,386 crore through Qualified Institutional Placement to fund its business growth.

Trend in FII flows: 

The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 181cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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