COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 03 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced in London as U.S. manufacturing expanded at the quickest clip in three years and construction spending rebounded, signaling increased demand.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas prices dropped on Tuesday after weather forecasting models called for falling temperatures across the U.S., which should cut into the need for air conditioning and thus reduce demand for the commodity at the nation's thermal power plants. Oil prices dropped on Tuesday due to mounting concerns that global supply is far outreaching demand, while a stronger U.S. dollar also bruised the commodity.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold futures extended losses on Tuesday, slumping to more than two month lows as the broadly stronger dollar dampened investor demand for the precious metal.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Non-Manufacturing PMI(CNY), GDP q/q(AUD), HSBC Services PMI(CNY), RBA Gov Stevens Speaks(AUD), Services PMI(GBP), BOC Rate Statement(CAD), Overnight Rate(CAD), Factory Orders m/m(USD), Total Vehicle Sales(USD), Beige Book(USD).

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking a bullish trend tracking Asian markets. Investors will be eying the HSBC India services PMI today.

FURTHER, NMDC's iron ore sales rose 23% to 25.2 lakh tonnes for the month of August. The company had dispatched 20.5 lakh tonnes iron ore during the same month last year. Hindalco has been exploring various options to raise USD 1 billion-plus or around Rs 5,000 to 6,000 crore funds.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 167cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 02 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium led most industrial metals higher as worse-than-expected manufacturing data in China and the euro area increased speculation of more economic stimulus. Copper fell in London on signs that factory demand will slow in China, the world’s largest consumer of the industrial metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell amid speculation that weakening manufacturing from Germany to China will cap demand for oil. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold extended a declined from a one-week high, retreating for a third day, as investors weighed the health of the global economy against tension between Ukraine and Russia.

           

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m(AUD), Cash Rate(AUD), RBA Rate Statement(AUD), Construction PMI(GBP), Final Manufacturing PMI(USD), ISM Manufacturing PMI(USD), Construction Spending m/m(USD), IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism(USD), ISM Manufacturing Prices(USD).

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open higher levels with upside gains. Auto stocks will be in focus on the back of robust August sales. Further, metal and power stocks could extend gains after the Centre requested the apex court not to cancel permits for 46 blocks.

FURTHER, Cipla Ltd has launched an anti-asthma inhaler in Germany and Sweden that is a generic version of GlaxoSmithKline Plc's Advair, a move that will further dent sales of the British firm's top-selling product. Tata Motors reported 17.59% decline in total sales at 40,883 units in August, 2014 as against 49,611 units in the same month last year.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 561cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS surges…Nifty past 8,000 to record high

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS surged with nifty past the psychologically important 8,000 level for the first time gained after better-than-expected quarterly GDP data.

•    Voltas gained 2 percent as Bank of America Merrill Lynch reiterates buy rating on the stock with an increased target price of Rs 305 per share.

•    Further, Bharti Airtel climbed 1.7 percent after Airtel Network Kenya has acquired 2.7 million subscribers of Essar telecommunications Kenya.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 8035 and above this 8070. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7980 and next support will be 7920.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 01 SEPTEMBER 2014

•    Maruti at new high, Aug sales ride on Celerio, Dzire, Ritz

Shares of Maruti Suzuki touched a new high, up 3 percent intraday on strong growth in August sales numbers boosted by compact cars segment. India's largest car maker sold 1,10,776 lakh units in August, up 27 percent compared to 87,323 units in same period last year and up 9 percent compared to 1.01 lakh units in previous month.

•    IRB Infrastructure falls after Citi downgrade

Shares of IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd fall after Citigroup downgraded the stock to sell from buy.

•    M&M sold 35,175 units in August

M&M has announced that it has sold 35,175 units during August 2014, as against 37,897 units during August 2013. The company's domestic sales was at 3,145 units.

•    TVS Motor Company August 2014 sales grows by 46%

TVS Motor Company recorded 46% growth in sales during the month of August 2014, with total sales increasing from 155,532 units recorded in the month of August 2013 to 227,482 units in the month of August 2014.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 01 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: COPPER futures ended higher on Friday while aluminium closed at an 18-month high as upbeat US economic data fanned hopes of stronger demand for industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude capped the first weekly gain in more than a month on speculation an improving U.S. economy will boost fuel demand.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Hedge funds cut their bullish gold bets for the fourth week in five, sending holdings to a two-month low, U.S. government data show. Open interest in New York futures is the smallest in five years, and assets in global exchange-traded products backed by the metal in August posted the biggest monthly drop since May.

           

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, Manufacturing PMI.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open to record high, big boost

INDIAN BENCHMARK open to record high, big boost comes from GDP numbers which were out on Friday. GDP grew fastest in over two years at 5.7% in the first quarter of FY15. The Supreme Court will today decide what to do with captive coal blocks, having deemed more than 200 allocations made since 1993 to be illegal.

FURTHER, Wockhardt Ltd has received Qualified Infectious Disease Product status from the US FDA for two of its drugs, WCK 771 and WCK 2349. Reliance Industries reportedly said it has returned nearly 1,384 acres of land in Gurgaon that was acquired for its SEZ.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 730cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ends August series with modest gains

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with amid volatility as monthly derivative contracts expired today and investors eyed GDP April-June quarter data scheduled for release tomorrow.

•    Shares in NHPC Ltd surged as much as 6.4 per cent as Traders focus could shift to hydro power as an alternative to coal in electricity generation.

•    Further, SKS Microfinance Ltd's shares rose 2.2 percent after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an overweight rating saying India's microfinance industry has $90 billion demand potential.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7970 and above this 8010. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7940 and next support will be 7910.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 28 August 2014

•    Tata Motors enters Algeria with a range of passenger cars

Tata Motors in association with SPA Elsecom has setup dealerships at Algiers and Oran, with further plans underway to establish 10 additional sales and service centers, to cover important regions, by the end of this year.

•    RIL to save $450 mn/yr by importing ethane from US

Reliance Industries will save about USD 450 million annually by importing 1.5 million tons ethane from US for its petrochemical plant. Imported Ethane will substitute its current propane imports and a portion of naphtha used for ethylene production.

•    Adani buys Australia coal mine royalty rights from Linc

Adani Enterprises has agreed to pay Australian dollar 155 million (USD 145 million) to Linc Energy to buy out the Australian firm's rights to future royalties from Adani's huge.

•    Tata Comm up on reports of foreign brokerage

Shares of Tata Communications gained over 4%, touching, on reports that a foreign brokerage has re-initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating. The company is back on growth and profitability track and its core business turnaround will be led by enterprise data.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 28 August 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper traded near the lowest in almost a week after China reported industrial profit growth slowed and before economic expansion data today from the U.S.

ENERGY WRAP: Gasoline fell after a government report showed U.S. output rose before the Labor Day holiday that marks the end of the country’s peak-demand driving season. West Texas Intermediate crude settled little changed.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold futures dropped for the second time in three days on signs of waning investor demand for the metal as an alternative asset.

                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Private Capital Expenditure q/q, German Prelim CPI m/m, Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Prelim GDP Price Index q/q, Pending Home Sales m/m, Natural Gas Storage.

MORNING MAIL 28 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open marginally higher amid firm global cues. Further, markets are likely to remain volatile in the latter half of the trading session with expiry of August derivative contracts today.

FURTHER, Piramal Enterprises is rejigging its research and development activities with a focus on molecules that are at an advanced stage of development. DLF will continue to be under pressure after the Supreme Court on Wednesday directed DLF to deposit Rs 630 crore in the registry within three months.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 236cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS mark record closing high ahead of F&O expiry

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with gains for the second consecutive trading session ahead of the F&O expiry tomorrow. Sentiment was on the positive side as the ongoing geopolitical tension in Israel, which was a major cause for concern seems to be finally ending as Hamas and Israel agreed to an open-ended cease-fire.

•    DLF fell 4.6 percent on Supreme Court order asking company to pay Rs 630 crore fine within three months.

•    Further, HDFC Bank declined 0.7 percent on the matter related to increase in FII investment limit may not be taken up by Foreign Investment Promotion Board in its meeting scheduled on August 29.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7945 and above this 7970. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7915 and next support will be 7860.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 27 AUGUST 2014

•    UCO Bank stock slips 8%

Shares of UCO Bank slipped 8% after report that the government ordered limited forensic audit into some non-performing accounts of the Bank to find out any irregularities in sanction of loans.

•    Tech Mahindra in talks to acquire more companies

Tech Mahindra is talks to acquire firms to further enhance its geographical reach competence in order to reach its goal of $5 billion by CY2015.

•    Hero Moto Corp aims to sell 12 million units by 2020

Hero Moto Corp management has set a target of 12million unit sales by the year 2020 and also reiterated its target to derive 10% of the volumes from exports. The company had sold 6.2 million units in FY 2014.

•    Tata Global plans to give thrust to its water business

Tata Global Beverages is planning to give a thrust to its water business with a goal to take the segment's contribution to company's revenues to 10% from 1% currently positive in long run, no near term addition to earnings.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 27 August 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium traded near an 18-month high on speculation demand is rising amid signs a recovery is gathering pace in the U.S. and before data forecast to show the country’s economy expanded for the second quarter.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near a three-day high before a government report forecast to show crude stockpiles dropped for a second week in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce as investors weighed a strengthening U.S. economy and dollar against signs of easing tensions around the world.

                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Crude Oil Inventories.

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MORNING MAIL 27 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a bullish note tracking a firm trend across markets in Asia after reports from US indicated that the world’s largest economy is strengthening.

FURTHER, Shares of defence equipment makers rose after the government notifies increase in FDI limit to 49% through approval route in the defence sector. ONGC rose over 2%, on hopes of reforms on subsidies and gas prices ahead of ONGC's share sale.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 259cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS continues retreat from record high

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended flat, amid a volatile trading session, even metal stocks rebounded while power stocks extended losses after the apex court's verdict on coal block allocations.

·         Tata Power fell another 2.8 percent on the Supreme Court’s order that stayed an interim order of the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity (APTEL) to allow payment of compensatory tariffs.

·         Further, Oil and Natural Gas Corp ended down 2.5 percent on equity dilution concerns due to a potential share sale by the government.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7915 and above this 7970. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7855 and next support will be 7780

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 26 August 2014

·        ONGC slumps on reports of disinvestment

ONGC fell nearly 4%, on reports of disinvestment. Government has decided to disinvest 5% stake in the company via offer for sale mechanism. The procedure of disinvestment is expected to be completed by the end of the month of September.

·        Havells India rises after stock split

Havells India jumped over 12% and after stock split. Havells India split each equity share of face value Rs5 each into five equity shares of Re1 each., with trading starting as of today, (August 26, 2014).

·        Reliance Power opts out of gas-fired power plant in Dadri

Reliance Power told the Supreme Court that it wasn't interested in setting up gas-fired power plant in Dadri, Uttar Pradesh, any more and would return about 956 acres of land acquired for the company to the state government.

·        L&T signs contract for 225 Mw

Bangladesh Power Development Board and Larsen & Toubro (L&T) have signed a contract to set up a 225 megawatt, gas-based power plant in sikalbaha, Chittagong in Bangladesh. The contract, which is valued at about $200 million, was secured by L&T in May, 2014.