COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 11 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel prices slid on Thursday as inventories rose, giving investors a reminder of an overhang of material despite an Indonesian export ban. Copper rebounded after upbeat U.S. jobs data raised the prospect of higher demand for industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate headed for a third weekly drop as Libya boosted its crude output and gasoline stockpiles expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held near a four-month high, heading for the longest run of weekly gains since March, as concern Europe’s economy remains vulnerable to shocks and rising tension in the Middle East boosted haven demand. Palladium traded near a 13-year high, set for a fourth weekly advance.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Unemployment Rate, Employment Change, Federal Budget Balance.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS end at record closing highs… Nifty closes above 7,700.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended at fresh record highs as institutional investors bought stocks across the board on hopes that the Finance Minister would announce reforms to boost the economy. Shares of Adani Group companies were ended higher by up to 10% on back of heavy volumes.

Further, Bajaj Auto auto sales stood at 3.05 lk units in June as compared to 2.95lk units YoY. The total motorcycle sales stood at 2.62lk units. L&T Construction has won new orders worth Rs 2002 cr across various business segments in June 2014.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7730 and above this 7765. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7620 and next support will be 7585.

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COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE 02 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper prices climbed to a 16-week high in London as manufacturing expanded at the fastest pace this year in China, the world’s largest user of the metal used in pipes and wires.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in almost three weeks before stockpile data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a three-month high on signs that the rally damped physical demand and as investors assessed the outlook for U.S. borrowing costs before Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks today. Platinum fell from the highest since September and palladium snapped a seven-day rally.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, Construction PMI, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Factory Orders m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks.

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COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE 01 July 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper rose, capping the biggest quarterly advance since September, as gains in the housing market signaled higher demand in the U.S., the world’s second-largest consumer.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in more than two weeks amid speculation that escalating violence in Iraq won’t disrupt supply from OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded near the highest level since March after assets in the SPDR Gold Trust increased and investors weighed the outlook for growth and interest rates in the U.S. before manufacturing data.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, Cash Rate, RBA Rate Statement, Manufacturing PMI, Treasury Sec Lew Speaks, Final Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Total Vehicle Sales.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a positive note tracking firm global cues.

INDIAN BENCHMARK 

open on a positive note tracking firm global cues. Oil marketing companies are likely to remain in focus after the government hiked the price petrol by Rs Rs 1.69 per litre and Diesel by 50 paise.

FURTHER, Shriram Transport Finance Company is set to raise Rs 3,000 crore through a public issue of secured, redeemable non-convertible debentures. Union Bank of India has proposed to raise Rs 1,386 crore through Qualified Institutional Placement to fund its business growth.

Trend in FII flows: 

The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 181cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE 30 JUNE 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper headed for its steepest rally in three quarters ahead of data tomorrow that may show industrial output sustained expansion in China, the biggest user. Nickel is set for the biggest quarterly gain since 2010.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude fell amid speculation that continuing violence in Iraq won’t disrupt supply from OPEC’s second-largest oil producer.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for a second quarterly increase as investors weighed the outlook for the U.S. economy and low interest rates against signs of weaker physical demand. Silver extended a drop from the highest level since March.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ANZ Business Confidence, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, GDP m/m, Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales m/m.

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COMMODITY MARKET UPDATE 27 JUNE 2014