COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 22 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium buyers in Japan, Asia’s largest importer, are set to agree on a record quarterly fee after lower output from Brazil deepened a global deficit, said three executives who will start negotiations next week. Copper in London rose to a two-week high, heading for the first weekly advance in a month on stronger-than-expected U.S. homes sales and before a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude headed for a fifth weekly decline, the longest losing streak in nine months, amid rising U.S. fuel supplies and signs of a slowing economy in China. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded near a two-month low on speculation that U.S. interest rates are set to increase as investors awaited remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen at a meeting of central bankers. Silver headed for a sixth week of losses in the longest slump in more than a yea

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Core CPI m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks, Jackson Hole Symposium.

Bullions Commodity Market Strategy 22ND AUGUST 2014
CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:421 SUP2:415                    RESIST1:429 RESIST2:433 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS CRUDE (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BEARISH SUP1:5640 SUP2:5550 RESIST1:5770 RESIST2:5850 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS GOLD (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:                                TREND BEARISH SUP1:27600 SUP2:27350 RESIST1:27950 RESIST2:28150 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:41750 SUP2:41300                      RESIST1:42500 RESIST2:42800 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

Agri Commodity Market Strategy 22ND AUGUST 2014
CS CHANA (SEPTEMBER)) OVERVIEW: TREND  CONSOLIDATE SUP1:2900                                                          SUP2:2870                     RESIST1:3000 RESIST2:3020 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS JEERA (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND CONSOLIDATE SUP1:11150 SUP2:10920 RESIST1:11450 RESIST2:11500 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000
CS TURMERIC (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW: TREND BULLISH SUP1:6450 SUP2:6310 RESIST1:6670 RESIST2:6780 TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000	CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW: TREND  BEARISH SUP1:3350 SUP2:3260 RESIST1:3490 RESIST2:3550 TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

INDIAN BENCHMARKS closes marginally higher… PSU banks gains

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS 

ended marginally higher led by gains in bank shares after Finance Minister Arun Jaitley today said that the government was working towards bringing in more professionalism in the functioning of banks and improving risk management, amid the backdrop of the recent scams in some public sector banks.

·         Shares of Dr. Reddy's Laboratories ended lower by 1.5% after report stated that the company was in talks with a US regulator over allegations it violated packaging rules for some prescription drugs sold there between 2008 and 2012.

·         Further, Zee Entertainment rose over a percent as it is all set to replace United Spirits in CNX Nifty with effect from the September 19.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7920 and above this 7945. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7855 and next support will be 7780.

Nifty Future & Bank Nifty Outlook

Nifty Future & Bank Nifty Outlook

Nifty Futures: 

It is likley to trade in the range of 7840 - 7940. The trading strategy would be to create short near at 7915 - 7920, Stop above 7950, for targets of 7880/7860. On the other hands, once can enter longs if the index finds support near at 7840 - 7850 levels.

Bank Nifty Futures: 

The momentum buying is likely to continues up to 15700 - 15750 levels. On the lower side, immediate strong support at 15450/15350 levels for the day.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 21 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper prices are seen rebounding 8.4 percent as demand for the metal used in pipes and wiring expands amid signs of tightening supplies, Standard Chartered Plc forecasts. Aluminum in London retreated from a six-month high as industrial metals declined after worse-than-expected manufacturing data from China, the biggest consumer.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate swung between gains and losses as U.S. crude stockpiles fell and a measure of China’s manufacturing missed estimates. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold fell for a fifth day, poised for the longest slump since June, as minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last meeting signaled that policy makers may increase borrowing costs earlier than expected. Platinum headed for the longest losing run in 27 years.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  

HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Manufacturing PMI, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing PMI, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Existing Home Sales, CB Leading Index m/m, Natural Gas Storage, Jackson Hole Symposium.

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Morning Mail Upadate 21 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a flat note tracking a mostly weak trend across markets in Asia as a sharp slowdown in China’s manufacturing underscored concerns over the health of the world’s second biggest economy, overshadowing Federal Reserve’s commitment to continue to keep interest rates low.

FURTHER, DLF Ltd is planning to reduce debt to Rs 12,000-14,000 crore by FY17 through asset monetization. Reliance Infrastructure has filed an appeal in the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity against the Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission pleading a stay on its recent order in change-over and switchover of its consumers to Tata Power in the Mumbai distribution area.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 481cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 20 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium and zinc rose in London as a jump in home building fueled speculation that demand will accelerate in the U.S., the world’s second-biggest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate swung between gains and losses amid speculation that crude and fuel inventories fell in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce after retreating for three days on signs that the U.S. recovery is gathering momentum without generating higher consumer prices. Platinum traded near a two-month low.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: RBA Gov Stevens Speaks, Trade Balance, All Industries Activity m/m, MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes, MPC Official Bank Rate Votes, Wholesale Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Meeting Minutes.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat after a day of closing at a fresh record high.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open flat after a day of closing at a fresh record high. Shares of Eros International Media touched 33-month high of Rs 249.80, up as much as 9.6 percent after the company's on-demand entertainment portal ErosNow has acquired the worldwide rights of popular Zee TV shows.

FURTHER, Just Dial rose over 3%, after the company's board approved increasing the shareholding limit of foreign institutional investors in the company to 75% from 49% . Glenmark Pharmaceuticals announced the discovery and initiation of IND enabling studies of a novel clinical development candidate, GBR 1302, a HER2xCD3 bispecific antibody.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 262cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

                                                                                                          

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 19 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper in London traded near the highest price in almost a week after data showed confidence among U.S. homebuilders reached the most in seven months and as investors look ahead to Chinese manufacturing data.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for the second time in three days before supply data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce after two days of losses on optimism that the U.S. recovery is gaining traction while tensions ease in Ukraine and the Middle East. Palladium traded near a 13-year high and platinum rose.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, CPI y/y, Building Permits, CPI m/m, Core CPI m/m, Housing Starts.

                                                                                                                                                                       

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Top Corporate News 18 August 2014

• Jubilant FoodWorks surges as Bofa start with Buy rating

Jubilant Food Works rose nearly 6%, after Bank of America Merrill Lynch starts coverage with a Buy rating and a target of Rs1,375. The company in a sweet spot in the large and high-growth quick service restaurants market.

• ITC slips on buzz of anti-tobacco laws

ITC fell nearly 3% on reports the Centre is planning to introduce tougher provisions under law to curb tobacco consumption in the country.

• Tata Motors jumps 3% on JLR July sales

Shares of Tata Motors jumped 3 percent, riding on its Jaguar Land Rover July sales number. The luxury car business sold 39467 units (up 12.2 percent) as compared to 35162 units in the same period last fiscal.

• Tata Power jumps 4%, MERC grants 25-yr distribution licence

Shares of Tata Power jumped over 4 percent as state electricity regulator Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission (MERC) has granted 25 years distribution licence to Tata Power for supplying power in city and suburban areas.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 18 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: COPPER futures were up on the London Metal Exchange Friday, rebounding from the previous session's slump amid renewed hopes that central banks will step in to boost economic growth.

ENERGY WRAP: Brent crude fell amid speculation that threats to Middle East oil supplies are easing. West Texas Intermediate declined in New York. Refinery breakdowns from Kansas to Texas are giving gasoline a boost, spurring speculators to increase bullish bets for the first time in six weeks as the Labor Day holiday approaches.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold decreased for a second day as the outlook for an improving U.S. economy outweighed tension in Ukraine. Silver fell to a two-month low, while palladium retreated from the highest level in more than 13 years.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y, NAHB Housing Market Index.

                                                                                                                                                                       

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open trading session on a flat note following mixed Global cues.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open trading session on a flat note following mixed Global cues.   

FURTHER, JSW Steel will acquire smaller rival Welspun Maxsteel for about Rs1,000 crore as to source cheaper raw material, cut production costs and strengthen its presence in the northern and western markets.

DHFL has announced that the Committee of the Board of Directors at its meeting held on August 14, 2014, has allotted 43,914 fully paid up equity shares of 10 each to eligible employees of the Company.    

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 135cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 14 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper fell on Tuesday to near six-week lows as improving supply and renewed tension between Ukraine and Russia combined with a summer lull to curb investors' appetite for risky assets.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell amid speculation that U.S. oil demand is slowing after a government report showed weekly crude inventories expanded for the time since June. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded little changed below a three-week high as investors gauged the health of the U.S. economy and tensions persisted in Ukraine and the Middle East. Gold demand in China shrank in the second quarter as consumers in the biggest user bought fewer bars, coins and jewelry amid a clampdown on corruption and as the buying spurred by last year’s price slump wasn’t sustained.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales q/q, French Prelim GDP q/q, German Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Import Prices m/m, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open positive tracking firm global cues.

INDIAN BENCHMARK open positive tracking firm global cues. Investors will keep a watch on WPI data released today.

FURTHER, ONGC missed street expectations with the first quarter net profit rising 19 percent year-on-year to Rs 4,782 crore impacted by higher exploration cost written off and depreciation cost. Adani Power has bought Hyderabad-based Lanco Infratech’s Udupi power plant at an enterprise valuation of Rs 6,000 crore.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday  while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 22cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat ,late recovery.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS end flat amid choppy trading session as investors turned cautious on lower industrial growth and rising CPI in July. Heavy selling led the Indian stock markets to slip in to the negative territory during the day.

·         Further, Jaiprakash Associates fell 9.16%, after the company posted a net loss of Rs80.61 crore in Q1 June 2014 compared with net profit Rs334.51 crore in Q1 June 2013.

·         Bank of Baroda fell 3.73%, after the central bank restricted foreign institutional investors from buying additional shares in the bank as their shareholding has reached the limit.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7760 and above this 7790. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7695 and next support will be 7655.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 13 AUGUST 2014

·        Tata Steel Q1 profit plunges 70% on provision, higher tax

Tata Steel has reported a 70.4 percent decline in consolidated net profit at Rs 337.3 crore for the April-June quarter, impacted by provision for impairment of non-current assets, higher tax expenses and interest cost. Profit in the year-ago period was Rs 1,139 crore.

·        Crompton Greaves sells Kanjurmarg land to Runwal Group

Crompton Greaves has sold its Kanjurmarg land parcel to Runwal Group for Rs1,015 crore. The 34-acre land parcel has been on the block for a while now. The deal pegs per acre land value at Rs 30 crore. Crompton Greaves has been looking for funds as its debt stands at Rs2,200-2,500 crore.

·        Siemens posts Q3 profit at Rs 13 cr, revenue falls 10%

Siemens has reported the third quarter (April-June) net profit at Rs 13 crore on lower revenue and weak operational performance. It had posted a loss of Rs 48.8 crore in the year-ago period.

·        Hindustan Copper Q1 net profit down by 29% (YoY)

Hindustan Copper has announced the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014. Net profit of the company slipped by 28.91% to Rs13.20 crore Vs Rs18.57 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 28.15% to Rs314.94 crore Vs Rs245.75 crore YoY.

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 13 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Indonesia’s ban on nickel ore exports is resonating globally as prices climb to the highest since 2012, prompting companies from Avebury Nickel Mines Ltd. to Poseidon Nickel Ltd. to restart operations at idled mines.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a second day after an industry report showed crude and gasoline supplies expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded below a three-week high as investors weighed the prospects for renewed fighting in Gaza and simmering tension between Ukraine and Russia against the outlook for the U.S. economy and a stronger dollar. Gold imports by India, the world’s biggest consumer after China, will probably decline for a third year as the government keeps curbs on shipments to prevent the current-account deficit from widening and to support the rupee.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Prelim GDP q/q, New Loans, M2 Money Supply y/y, Industrial Production y/y, Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y, Retail Sales y/y, Average Earnings Index 3m/y, Claimant Count Change, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, BOE Inflation Report, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m , FOMC Member Dudley Speaks, Business Inventories m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, 10-y Bond Auction.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS mark second consecutive weekly fall on geopolitical concerns

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS flat-to-lower as investors eye global factors. Concerns about potential U.S. strikes on Iraq and tensions between the West and Russia are among geo-political risk factors.

·         Further, JSW Steel reported Crude Steel Production for July 2014, at 11.13 lac tonnes showing growth of 12% over corresponding month of previous year.

·         Corporation Bank  net profit slipped 38.8 percent year-on-year to Rs 231.4 crore in the quarter ended June 2014 dented by lower net interest income and other income, and higher provisions

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7600 and above this 7680. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7540 and next support will be 7460.